Jiang Zhuoer: Predicts that this BTC bear market will bottom between 42,000 and 44,000 USD from October to December 2026

Odaily reported that LaiBTC Mining Pool founder Jiang Zhuoer posted on the X platform, stating that he predicts this BTC bear market will bottom at 44,016 USD on October 31, 2026. Based on the pattern where mNAV leads BTC price by 6 months to bottom, the bottoming time window is revised to October to December 2026, with a bottom price range of 42,000 to 44,000 USD.

Jiang Zhuoer pointed out that MSTR's mNAV (ratio of stock price to BTC value per share) has dropped to 0.72, approaching the low of 0.7 seen on May 11, 2022, during the previous bull market. Based on recent market sentiment events such as the significant depegging of STRC, this can currently be predicted as the lowest area for mNAV in this cycle. However, the lowest mNAV does not correspond to the lowest BTC price. In the previous cycle, when mNAV bottomed at 0.7 on May 11, 2022, the BTC price was 31,017 USD, while BTC bottomed at 15,476 USD on November 21, 2022, at which time mNAV was 1.2, with an interval of 6 months between the two.