Polymarket "SpaceX will raise between $70 billion and $80 billion in its IPO" probability now stands at 88%, up 20% intraday

Odaily Seer Prophet Channel monitoring shows that the probability for “SpaceX will raise between $70 billion and $80 billion in its IPO” on Polymarket is now at 88%, up 20% intraday.

This market settles based on the total funds raised when SpaceX prices its IPO, according to the data disclosed in the final SEC prospectus. Over-allotment option shares are not included, and private secondary transactions are not included. If the total amount raised falls exactly on a tier boundary, it settles at the higher tier; if the IPO is not completed before December 31, 2026, it settles at the lowest tier.

Earlier news: In a document filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) on Wednesday, Elon Musk’s SpaceX disclosed that it plans to set the offering price at $135 per share (consistent with the price reported by sources) before officially starting its IPO roadshow. SpaceX stated that the company plans to issue 555.6 million shares, thereby raising $75 billion.

Odaily Seer Prophet Channel continues to monitor the prediction market, observing changes before the pricing is set.