Kalshi在欺诈流媒体预警后结算332万美元Spotify预测市场

Odaily星球日报讯 Kalshi trader Caleb Davies stated that he had requested Kalshi to delay the settlement of a Spotify prediction market so that the compliance team could review suspected artificial streaming data manipulation. The market centered on which artists would top Spotify's U.S. Daily Chart, with a trading volume of $3.3209 million.



Davies noted that Malcolm Todd's song "Earrings" surged approximately 70% in a single day and topped Spotify's U.S. chart on June 29. Kalshi's compliance and legal chief Robert DeNault replied that only Spotify can verify whether the data originates from genuine listens or manipulation. Kalshi finalized the settlement just minutes after issuing that response.



Davies stated that the open interest for the "Earrings" related outcome rose from $2,000 to over $70,000 in the days leading up to the emergence of disputed streaming data. The following day, Spotify removed 523,000 streams from the cumulative data for "Earrings." Based on the adjusted data, the song would have ranked fourth on June 29, rather than first.



Spotify subsequently requested Kalshi and Polymarket to remove its brand logo and clarified that neither party had established a partnership with the streaming service. Kalshi has removed the relevant logo and modified its wording. Spokesperson Elisabeth Diana stated that the company is in contact with Spotify and is conducting an investigation. Kalshi has not yet released the investigation results, reversed the settlement, or announced compensation.