A wallet with a 78% win rate purchased $139,000 worth of "Yes" shares on the outcome of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in July.

According to monitoring by the PPP Prediction Market Tool, in the Polymarket event "Will the Federal Reserve maintain interest rates at the July 2026 meeting?", a wallet address (0xd9670ea74384c1e1b9dc1e4267ffadaf4cdd1409) with a 78% win rate purchased $139,000 worth of "Yes" shares. The average entry price was 75.5 cents, buying a total of 175,165.2 shares.

The Federal Reserve will announce its July interest rate decision early on July 30th Beijing time. According to data from the CME FedWatch Tool, the market currently prices a 66.3% probability that the Fed will maintain rates at this meeting, and a 33.7% probability of a 25 basis point hike. As of now, the probability of rates remaining unchanged on this prediction market stands at 80%, a decrease of 13% over the past week.

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