Polymarket on WTI crude oil breaking $95/barrel in July probability rises to 48%, up 20% in 24 hours

PPP Prediction Market Tool monitoring shows that in Polymarket's "WTI Oil Price July Touch Price" prediction event, the probability of WTI crude oil breaking above $95/barrel has reached 48%, up 20% in 24 hours; the probability of breaking above $100/barrel has risen to 32%, up 14% in 24 hours.

According to market sources, the United States has deployed B-1 bombers to strike targets of Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, with this operation marking a significant escalation and expansion of U.S. military actions. Against the backdrop of the U.S. military continuously strengthening its military posture in the region, Trump is still considering resuming large-scale combat operations against Iran. Trump previously stated that anytime the Islamic Republic of Iran fires on ships in the Strait of Hormuz, whether through missiles, rockets, drones, or any other devices or weapons, the U.S. will bomb and destroy a bridge or power plant, including facilities located near or within the capital Tehran.

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