Polymarket: "Probability of next Claude Opus model being released on July 23, 2026" currently at 61%, up 51% in 24 hours

PPP Prediction Market Tool monitoring shows that on Polymarket, the probability of "the next Claude Opus model being released on July 23, 2026" is currently at 61%, up 51% in 24 hours; additionally, the probability of "release before July 24" is at 9%; and "release before July 25" is at 5%;

This event will be settled based on the date (Eastern Time) when Anthropic's next Claude Opus model is made available to the public. Only models explicitly named "Opus" by Anthropic are valid, and they must be accessible to the public (including public beta testing or open waitlist). Other models such as Sonnet and Haiku are not counted, and the final settlement will primarily rely on official information from Anthropic.

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