Polymarket: "Probability of CLARITY Act Signed into Law in 2026" Reaches 42%, Up 10% in a Week
The PPP Prediction Market Tool monitors that the probability of the "CLARITY Act Signed into Law in 2026" on Polymarket has risen to 42%, up 5% in 24 hours and 10% in a week.
The market rules are as follows: If the "Digital Asset Market Transparency Act of 2025" (HR3633) is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law before 11:59 p.m. Eastern Time on December 31, 2026, the market will be judged as "YES"; otherwise, it will be "NO." Sources primarily include information published on the official U.S. Congress website and other official U.S. government information, but other reliable reports may also be referenced.
White House crypto advisor Patrick Witt has officially stated today that he will remain in Washington to push for the passage of the CLARITY Act. Previously, there were reports that he would leave before the Senate vote, but that news has now been reversed.
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