Polymarket: Probability of "GPT-5.6 to be publicly released on July 7" rises to 64%, up 26% in 24 hours

PPP Prediction Market Tool monitoring shows that the probability of Polymarket's "GPT-5.6 to be publicly released on July 7" has risen to 64%, up 26% in 24 hours.

The rules stipulate that models explicitly named "GPT-5.6", or models officially recognized as the direct successor to GPT-5.5 (such as GPT-5.7, GPT-5.8, etc.), all meet the settlement conditions. Task-specific models like GPT-Codex and Transcribe, cost-optimized versions like Nano and Mini, and o-series reasoning models are all included in this market. However, GPT-6 or other next-generation flagship models are not included.

Furthermore, eligible models must be made available to the public, including public beta versions or open waitlists. Closed testing or private-only access does not meet the requirements. The final settlement will primarily be based on OpenAI's official announcements and publicly available information on their official website, and will be verified against mainstream media reports.

As of June 27, OpenAI has launched the next-generation GPT-5.6 series of models, currently available in a limited preview for select partners.

Odaily Seer Channel continuously monitors prediction markets, seeing changes before they are priced in.