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Robinhood's prediction market revenue expected to surpass crypto revenue in Q2

2026-06-29 02:49

Odaily Odaily reported that Robinhood's prediction market platform business is growing rapidly, with Chief Brokerage Officer Steven Quirk stating the company's annual revenue run rate has reached $500 million. In the second quarter up to June 25, Robinhood saw approximately 12.3 billion event contract trades. Based on a standard fee of $0.01 per contract, the prediction market revenue for the quarter is estimated to be at least $1.23 million. Furthermore, its recently launched Rothera prediction market platform achieved over 900 million trades in its first week, contributing nearly 60% of the growth in event contract trading volume for Robinhood.

Meanwhile, due to weak institutional trading volumes, cryptocurrency trading volume has declined, with crypto revenue expected to be below $134 million in the second quarter. Prediction market revenue could potentially surpass cryptocurrency revenue as early as this quarter, becoming a higher-growth revenue stream. (artemis)