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江卓尔:Predicts this BTC bear market will bottom between $42,000 and $44,000 from October to December 2026

2026-06-25 01:36

Odaily Planet Daily News Lai Bite Mining Pool founder Jiang Zhuoer posted on X platform, stating that he predicts this BTC bear market will bottom at $44,016 on October 31, 2026. Combining the rule that mNAV leads BTC price by 6 months at the bottom, the bottom time window has been revised to October to December 2026, with a bottom price range of $42,000 to $44,000.

Jiang Zhuoer pointed out that MSTR's mNAV (stock price / BTC value per share ratio) has dropped to 0.72, close to the lowest point of 0.7 on May 11, 2022, during the last bull market. Based on recent market sentiment events such as the significant de-pegging of STRC, this can currently be predicted as the lowest area of mNAV for this cycle. However, the lowest mNAV does not correspond to the lowest BTC price. During the last cycle, when mNAV bottomed at 0.7 on May 11, 2022, the BTC price was $31,017, while BTC bottomed at $15,476 on November 21, 2022, when mNAV was 1.2, with a 6-month interval between the two.

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