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World Cup countdown: 1 day to go, Polymarket probability of "European country winning the World Cup" stands at 72%, ranking first

2026-06-10 11:51

Odaily Seer monitoring shows that with 1 day to go until the start of the World Cup opening match on June 12, the probability of "European country winning the World Cup" on Polymarket stands at 72%, ranking first; the probability of a South American country winning the World Cup is 22%, ranking second; while the probabilities for African, Asian, and North American countries winning the World Cup are all 3%, tied for third.

The event rule is as follows: the continent to which the country winning the 2026 World Cup champion belongs. For example, if France wins the World Cup champion, it will be determined as "Europe." If the 2026 World Cup is canceled, postponed to after December 31, 2026, or no official champion is determined before December 31, 2026, it will be determined as "Other." The final determination standard for the continent of the country will be based on information from World Population Review.

Odaily Seer continues to follow the prediction market, seeing changes before the pricing.

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