Polymarket: "Mbappé to Win 2026 World Cup Golden Boot" probability stands at 18%, ranking first

Odaily Seer Prophecy Channel monitoring shows that on Polymarket, the probability of "Mbappé winning the 2026 World Cup Golden Boot" is currently reported at 18%, ranking first; the probability of Kane winning the Golden Boot is 14%, temporarily in second place; the probabilities of Ronaldo and Messi winning the Golden Boot are relatively low, currently at 5% and 4% respectively.

The contract rules for this event: The final result will be determined by the player with the most total goals scored during the entire tournament. In the event of a tie, the result will be determined according to the official ranking rules stipulated by FIFA; if FIFA announces multiple players, the winner will be the player with fewer penalty goals; if a tie still exists, the player whose name comes first alphabetically will be selected. If the World Cup is canceled, or if no winner is determined after 11:59 PM ET on August 2, 2026, the result will be judged as "Other." The final result will be based on information officially released by FIFA, and where necessary, market consensus formed by credible media reports may also be referenced.

Odaily Seer Prophecy Channel continues to monitor the prediction market, seeing changes before the price is set.