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Polymarket launches "Will the U.S. Congress pass a war powers resolution on Iran before June 30"

2026-06-01 12:31

Odaily Seer Prophecy Channel monitoring shows that Polymarket has launched a new prediction event: "Will the U.S. House and Senate pass the same resolution aimed at limiting U.S. military operations against Iran in the recent conflict before June 30, 2026."

Since the escalation of U.S. military operations against Iran in late February this year, the power struggle between the two parties in Congress over the 1973 War Powers Resolution has seen multiple failures. Although the Senate advanced a related procedural vote in mid-May, and the House once formed a bipartisan majority, House Republican leadership, on the eve of the recess on May 21, citing "absent members and insufficient votes," urgently withdrew and postponed the full floor vote on the resolution. As members of Congress return to Washington after the Memorial Day recess in early June, the time window for both chambers to unify the amendment text and complete final passage has become extremely tight. Compounded by the White House's tough stance, which may involve a veto, the market leans towards the view that the two chambers will not reach a substantive binding resolution by the June 30 deadline.

Odaily Seer Prophecy Channel continues to monitor prediction markets, seeing changes before they are priced.

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