巴克莱：预测市场正威胁其他投机性投资工具，Z世代热衷博弈式投资

Odaily Planet Daily News Barclays analysts point out that prediction markets are threatening other speculative investment instruments and have already become a formidable rival to leveraged ETPs. Data shows that since the 2024 U.S. presidential election, the monthly notional trading volume on prediction platforms has been growing continuously. In April, the notional trading volume on Kalshi and Polymarket exceeded $24 billion, nearly matching the scale of "overbought call strategies" for indices and individual stocks, compared to just $5 billion a year ago.

Analysts believe that the prediction market craze is not driven by the AI bubble but stems from viral spread among the younger generation. Nearly one-third of Gen Z and the following Millennials are either already participating in or considering engaging in prediction markets and sports betting. However, at this stage, prediction markets still struggle to compete with the flagship retail product, 0DTE. The total trading volume of the S&P 0DTE market in March this year reached a staggering $57 trillion. (CNBC)