Polymarket probability of "S&P 500 reaching 8,000 points before end of June" temporarily stands at 10%
Odaily Seer Prophet Channel monitoring shows that as the S&P 500 Index breaks through 7,400 points to hit a new all-time high, the probability on Polymarket of the "S&P 500 Index reaching 8,000 points before the end of June" is temporarily reported at 10%; the probability of the "S&P 500 Index breaking through 7,700 points before the end of June" is temporarily reported at 31%.
The event resolution rules are as follows: If at any point between the market creation and market close on the last trading day of June 2026, any 1-minute candle of the S&P 500 Index (SPX) shows a final "high" price equal to or higher than the listed price, this market will be resolved as "Yes." Otherwise, this market will be resolved as "No."
As shown by the 1-minute interval ("1m") data from Yahoo Finance, all prices recorded during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange for this instrument will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (such as holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All referenced times are local times of the primary exchange where the index is traded.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for the S&P 500 Index (SPX), available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
Odaily Seer Prophet Channel continuously tracks prediction markets; seeing changes before they are priced in.
