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非农公布后美联储近期利率决议预期变化不大

2026-05-08 12:57


After the non-farm payroll data release, expectations for the Federal Reserve's upcoming interest rate decisions saw little change. Odaily reports that according to the CME "FedWatch" tool: the probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in June is 94.9% (compared to 96.9% before the release), and the probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point rate cut is 5.1% (compared to 3.1% before the release). For July, the probability of the Fed keeping rates unchanged is 88.8% (compared to 90.7% before the release), the probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point rate cut is 10.8% (compared to 9.1% before the release), and the probability of a cumulative 50-basis-point rate cut is 0.4% (compared to 0.2% before the release).

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