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Before the nonfarm payrolls release, the probability of the Fed keeping interest rates unchanged in June was 96.9%

2026-05-08 12:23

Odaily Odaily reports that before the nonfarm payrolls data release, according to CME's "FedWatch": the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in June is 3.1%, and the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 96.9%. The probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point rate cut by the Fed by July is 9.1%, the probability of keeping rates unchanged is 90.7%, and the probability of a cumulative 50-basis-point rate cut is 0.2%.

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