A certain smart money address purchased $487,000 worth of bets on France defeating Spain in the World Cup semi-final.
The PPP Prediction Market Tool monitoring shows that in the Polymarket event "2026 World Cup Semi-Final: France vs. Spain", a smart money address (0x85f031d069de300055900c4055c1baeb6bde3f67), which has total profits exceeding $1.685 million, purchased $487,000 worth of bets on France defeating Spain. The average opening price was 41.5¢, for a total of 1,199,996.2 shares. This market only predicts the result within the first 90 minutes of regular play (including stoppage time). Additionally, this user is holding $962,000 worth of bets on France winning the World Cup, with an unrealized profit of $550,000.
The match between France and Spain is scheduled to begin on July 15 at 3:00 AM Beijing time. This marks the third time the two teams have met in a major tournament semi-final in three years. As the winner of their previous two encounters, Spain may hold the psychological advantage.
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