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Federal Reserve's probability of keeping rates unchanged in July is 77%

2026-07-05 23:01

Odaily reported that data shows the probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in July is 77%, while the probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point rate hike is 23%. By September, the probability of the Fed maintaining rates unchanged is 41.9%, the probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point hike is 47.6%, and the probability of a cumulative 50-basis-point hike is 10.5%.