The Fed did not raise interest rates, but the market did not buy it. What happened?

BTC market analysis

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BTC market analysisThe Fed announced that the possibility of raising interest rates has not materialized, which is consistent with our previous expectations. Of course, we have seen that many people have predicted this. At the same time, the market also gave the result of voting with their feet, which reflected expectations in advance. There has been a 10% rebound, but judging from the current trading volume of the market, this rebound can support an increase of less than 5% at most in normal times (this is a qualitative amount, a subjective judgment, and has not been carefully calculated. ).We have analyzed several times before that the Fed will not raise interest rates, and the currency in the entire market is already in a state of tightening and outflow. We have seen that although the Fed has not raised interest rates, it has repeatedly emphasized that this is a moderate inflation.

On the one hand, it is necessary to paralyze the market, and on the other hand, it is to leave a mouthful for the central banks of other countries and the United Nations

, but the Federal Reserve is conducting reverse repurchase at a rate of 120 billion US dollars per month, and the reverse repurchase rate has been raised to 0.5%.This is the typical rhythm of saying no with your mouth, but your body is dishonest. Therefore, many voices in the market say that the Fed’s interest rate hike is not expected to come, so the encryption market will rebound to 100,000 US dollars. Of course, 100,000 US dollars is not a rebound, but an increase. The market will not believe this kind of fanciful voice, because market casualties will always only ask, "Speaking so much, when will the market be pulled?" No one has analyzed which behaviors belong to the tightening of the currency margin.Regarding the previous trend, as well as the reflexiveness of the trend, the philosophical logic of the mainstream trend of the market, price and trend, I have explained them one by one. In the face of the mainstream trend of the market,

The big mainstream trend is the tightening of monetary margins, and the mainstream of the capital market tends to avoid risks. The trend is currently downward, at least structurally downward, there are chances below 4H (these are the levels of rebound, but we don’t think they are opportunities, they belong to the game of tooth-fighting festival), of course, the price is of course not worth mentioning. In terms of no value, the number of users is the alpha coefficient of the price-these Proposition We find time to sort out with you.。

The middle line continues to insist on watching more and moving less, patiently waiting for opportunities, of course it will wait for a long time. The midline continues to fluctuate in the range of 35,000 as the central axis, 30,000 as the bottom, and 40,000 as the high point. Before there are no major changes in the market, the consensus in this range will still be strong, and it will fall below 30,000 (the 30,000 mentioned here is more than 29,000 to 31,000 The probability of being vaguely right and precise wrong, everyone remembers) is very small, only when you dare to stand with a few people can you have a chance of defeating the majority.

ETH market analysis

first level titleETH market analysis. It doesn't matter in the medium and long term, the opening range is enlarged, as long as it is in the bottom range of the smile curve.

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NFT is still being promoted recently. MANA sold a piece of land last night for more than 900,000 US dollars, and the market is still fermenting.It was reported on the Internet that the Polkadot mainnet stopped generating blocks for more than 3 hours last night, but it was actually just a browser synchronization problem, but there was no sound at the bottom, everyone was numb, and no one was paying attention to these news. The current situation is still more than 60% of the pledge, 30% of the circulation, the market will not collapse, although the big players are making money, but they can't run away, and the next bull market is needed to get away.So don't be afraid, there are people out there,