Market Analysis丨Two predictions about when the bull market will end, for reference

BTC market analysis

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BTC market analysis

The market has been so good recently, so the market is full of news that the bull market may end in a few months. We cannot predict how the market will go in the future, but groundless rumors and mindless worries are the most pitiful.

becauseLet’s talk about something we think is reliable. According to the analysis of economists, Biden’s $2 trillion stimulus plan can bring the United States an economic growth rate of 1.2% per year for nearly 9 years. Such a large economy maintains What a terrible thing is the growth rate of 1.2%. So when the short-term bull market ends, we will not hold this view in the short to medium term.because

The linked exchange rate system and the pegged currency together form the basis of the modern economy. There is only a fluctuating economy, and there is no stagnant currency.

This means that in the face of an infinitely expanding currency, all assets with financial attributes, asset attributes, and anti-inflation attributes will continue to rise. The old American stock market and our property market will only affect temporary fluctuations and will not change. long-term trends.

This kind of analysis is a bit blunt. Of course, if you can understand it, it means that you are not a pure Keynesian economics student, but a student of Austrian economics.

Due to limited time, we will publish some in-depth opinion articles in our new column later, where we will use data and theory to analyze economic trends and how the currency mechanism supports BTC.

Here I come to a conclusion. When, we should start to defend against risks. Two conditions: 1. The US economy is doing well; 2. The US dollar starts to raise interest rates.Subsequent adjustments will oscillate around the new anchor, with a high probability of continuing upward.

ETH market analysis

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Allocators hold positions, while outsiders wait and see.

butOn the other hand, it will take a long time for ETH's fundamental expectations to change. So the market is not sufficiently driven by expectations., the current condition is that as long as BTC does not fall below 56,000 and returns to the position of 54,500, it is very difficult for ETH to drop 2,000.

LTC/XRP/EOS/BCH/ADA market analysis

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LTC/XRP/EOS/BCH/ADA market analysis

Two days ago, XRP was submitted for review, which probably means that there is no problem, and you can work with peace of mind later, but when the news came out, XRP was already around 0.65, and we issued an XRP reminder when it was around 0.5 to remind XRP Both EOS and EOS have opportunities for short-term speculation. At that time, we had no news support and no perception of fundamentals. The biggest judgment was the movement of short-to-medium-term technology and the capture of market changes. Obviously, at that time, someone knew that XRP would have news. , So quietly building positions.This is a typical way of playing with hot money, sneaking into the village quietly, don't shoot! So what does it mean if XRP really removes the risk? Is XRP 0.9 still available? I think there are (this is talking about the long-term, not the short-term, the short-term may be volatile, because after all, there are a lot of hot money coming into the market, and these people have no faith), just look at the pictures.

As for the small varieties of EOS, they will continue to fluctuate upwards driven by each other. The short-term depends on the face of the big pie, and the long-term depends on the encouragement of each other's little dragon brothers.

DOT/KSM market analysis

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DOT/KSM market analysis

How did you expect KSM at the beginning, and how can you expect the parachain auction of DOT now? Let me guess, everyone’s analysis is around 50, then I guess DOT is at least 60, just like KSM keeps refreshing our cognition.

NFT/DeFi

When KSM was at its highest, it was around 580. I used the market value analogy, so this guess is not an exaggeration. But I declare that it is just speculation, without fundamental basis, not instigated by the dealer, but just self-judgment and guesswork.secondary titleGUCCI is going to engage in NFT, and the world is getting more and more fun. Old traditional IPs bring new users straight to the world of blockchain applications. The bubble has just begun, so don't panic.

DeFi has been quietly rising recently, and the adjustment is over