People say "the bigger the heart, the bigger the stage", no matter where this sentence is put, it becomes an inspiration. But if you put it in the currency market, especially in the face of the Bitcoin market this weekend, Mr. Tan just wants to say: "As long as you dare to imagine, the price of Bitcoin will dare to exceed your imagination." After Christmas Eve and Christmas, Bitcoin Currency has started another wave of bull market, rising more and more crazily, running non-stop all the way, the medium-term goal agreed to look at the 25,000 US dollar mark, but in less than two trading days, it accidentally surpassed the 27,000 US dollar mark. The momentum of "mad bull" has subverted the market's expectations.
At present, many investment friends approached Mr. Tan and asked: Where is the next goal of Bitcoin? The $30,000 or $50,000 mark? Regarding such a question, to be honest, Yu Kai himself has no idea. Is it possible that I should say that I have seen the 100,000 dollar mark against my conscience? That's kind of impractical. Just like when I said that the mid-line goal of Bitcoin is looking at the $25,000 mark, and breaking through this position is looking at the $30,000 mark. How many people believe it along the way? (Bitcoin’s highest price was US$27,773.1 as of the time of writing.) Believe it or not, it doesn’t seem to matter at all, because Mr. Tan always emphasizes doing more to his real customers, and continues to do more after callbacks. Of course, it is undeniable that there are losses due to the large correction, but the overall profit must be beyond your imagination. How to operate the next market, the author still trades with the trend in one sentence, don’t think about a callback because of a short-term rise (on the contrary, don’t think about a rebound because of a short-term fall). The market waits for no one, and missed opportunities are opportunities. The more cowardly you are, the higher the market will be, and you will always just watch others make money and count their money.
From the perspective of implied volatility, near the end of 2020, a large number of Bitcoin options are about to enter the maturity delivery stage. To a certain extent, the option price will be subject to the short-term constraints of the spot price, resulting in a short-term decline in the implied volatility, and the short-term implied volatility will drop below 70. From the perspective of the term structure of implied volatility, the long-term implied volatility remains around 80-85. Considering the relationship between implied volatility and option pricing (generally speaking, implied volatility is positively correlated with underlying asset popularity and forward option prices in a bull market), it can be found that whether it is the historic breakthrough of Bitcoin in December , or the unexpected events of XRP, all have a significant impact on the forward pricing of Bitcoin, which further proves that the market's consensus on the future value of Bitcoin is becoming more and more solid.
Finally, from the implied volatility surface, we can get a glimpse of investors' attitudes towards the future market: for option contracts that expire in the short term, the implied volatility surface is approximately unbiased, indicating that investors are more rational in short-term transactions; The implied volatility surface is still skewed to the right, meaning that investors are still inclined to call options for Bitcoin forward trading. To sum up, investors have firm confidence in the future of Bitcoin, and look forward to the digital asset market next year bringing more surprises to investors.
BTC (Bitcoin), after a wave of bull market in the middle of this month, there has been a short-term adjustment, and the magnitude of the correction is not very large, but this time it started at the 23,000 US dollar mark and ushered in another wave of bull market again. Line Silianyang to the upper track position of BOLL, the previous callback is just to prepare for adjustment and to better further open up the upward space. Mr. Tan has used the "Fibonacci" theoretical analysis many times before, and BTC will not experience a large correction. One is market demand, and the other is technical support. (The high point on November 25th, the high point on November 30th, the high point on December 20th, after each high point, the strength of the callback is limited, if the callback is too large, it will cause the rhythm of the market crash ) To be honest, the momentum of this wave of BTC surge has not yet reached the magnitude of the previous wave, and the currency price has just touched the upper track of BOLL. If this momentum continues, there will still be new highs in the future. The market technology in the bull market has not What analysis is there at all, follow the market to trade, but also beware of the possibility of callback correction, so the position must be well controlled. In today's short-term, you can focus on the resistance around $28,000 at the top, and the support around $27,200 at the bottom. In terms of operations, you still maintain a long-term follow-up. For spot currency hoarders, this wave of bull market is the time for you to start harvesting profits. At the same time, every pullback is an opportunity for you to enter the market. Such an opportunity can be obtained at least at the beginning of next year.
Short-term upper resistance level: 28000/28200 Short-term lower support level: 27200/27000
ETH (Ethereum): When it comes to Ethereum, it feels like an "unable to support a dou". , Ethereum performed relatively well, after all, it is the mainstream cryptocurrency of the second knife. After a wave of Ethereum dropped to the $550 mark this week, short-term shorts showed signs of stopping the decline. The tug-of-war between long and short positions finally reversed after it stood firm at the $600 mark, and it fluctuated all the way up. It is to follow the rise of the pie. Ethereum, while gaining momentum more slowly, still sees its medium-term value. The daily line is also four consecutive suns, and the bulls are rising steadily. The two major moving averages MA5/MA10 once again crossed the golden cross to support their upward movement. In the short term, focus on the pressure around $660 and the support around $642 below. It is recommended to maintain a long-term thinking in operation follow up. After Ethereum’s correction from the previous high point of $676.55, the range reached nearly 126 points, and this time the rebound was close to 100 points. At present, this momentum is not enough. At the same time, the technical aspect has not yet There are signs of a sharp rise, relatively speaking, the investment space is still relatively large, especially for the medium and long-term layout.
Upper resistance level: 660/665 Short-term lower support level: 650/645
(Text/Talk about Yu Kai)
(Text/Talk about Yu Kai)
