Can Ethereum 2.0 really produce blocks as scheduled?
Previously, the Ethereum 2.0 pledge that started in early November had only 120,000 Ethereum at 21:00 on November 21, and the progress was 22.89%. decline.
However, as of this morning, this data has skyrocketed to 260,000 Ethereum, with a progress of 50.46%. It is estimated that the target on December 1 is still close to half of the expected block height. Is it possible?
I think it is unlikely, according to the rules: there must be at least 16,384 validator deposits (32 ETH per validator, 524,299 ETH in total) 7 days before December 1st. If not, genesis will be triggered 7 days after (whenever) this threshold is reached.
That is to say, the deadline is tomorrow, and nearly 260,000 ETHs need to be deposited in one day, which can be described as extremely difficult, but even so, it cannot stop the pace of the charge of the big players and believers in ETH. Many people lost their faith around "3.12", but regained their faith under the DeFi revolution. An Neng missed such an opportunity.
However, judging from past data, the average daily deposit of Ethereum is only about 10,000, and the deposit amount in one day reaches the total deposit amount in dozens of days, which seems a bit unrealistic.
However, I am very optimistic about the opening of the genesis block before December 10. The current half of the progress has given the market enough confidence, and it can even be felt that some large Ethereum players are ready to go, and may inject funds into the Ethereum 2.0 address within a few days to complete the pledge.
V God has previously stated that in the next 1-2 years, the planned circulation of ETH is about 4.7 million pieces per year. Once the PoS is fully implemented, the number of destruction will be subtracted every year, and it will be about 2 million pieces per year.
Phase 0: Beacon chain with PoS as consensus mechanism
Phase 1: Multiple shard chains
Phase 2: Add execution functionality to all shards
V God has previously stated that in the next 1-2 years, the planned circulation of ETH is about 4.7 million pieces per year. Once the PoS is fully implemented, the number of destruction will be subtracted every year, and it will be about 2 million pieces per year.
When the complete transformation from PoW to Pos is completed, the price of Ethereum may double. This is still in the case of a conservative estimate, and it is already hitting $600. I believe that under the circumstances of market promotion and reduced liquidity, this The month is promising.
Of course, this is just my prediction, not your investment advice.
From the price point of view, Ethereum has directly hit $600 since it fell to $520, and the increase has reached about 700% since this year, and the gas fee seems to have returned to September, the hottest month of DeFi.
Many people want Ethereum to produce blocks as soon as possible and complete the vision on December 1st, but this situation still has certain errors in China. How can a high return cycle and a high operating threshold be achieved after getting used to making quick money? Waiting for 2 years on the unknown chain, and it is still a new thing with a penalty mechanism.
I have also communicated with some investors recently. Everyone has mixed opinions on Ethereum 2.0, but more people joined this year, and they have never been in touch with technology. They just want to take advantage of this wave of short-term speculation. Forget it, if you really want to keep the money for two years and learn how to operate it, you really don't want to! Does anyone really use currency as an incentive tool?
For layer 2 Ethereum ecosystem developers, if they cannot wait until the official release of Ethereum 2.0, they may really be unable to survive. The following pictures are from Lianwen. The picture is a summary of the ecological panorama of the eight expansion plans of Ethereum. You can use it as a reference.
However, at this stage, when the gas fee is increasing and the pledge rate of 2.0 has not reached the ideal height, V God and the core developers need to consider how to improve the performance that meets the needs of users. Starting from the actual needs of users,
Welcome to pay attention to the public account [Xiao Zhang talks about blockchain], which will continue to bring you content updates in the blockchain field. You can enter the WeChat community to discuss the future of blockchain together.
Welcome to pay attention to the public account [Xiao Zhang talks about blockchain], which will continue to bring you content updates in the blockchain field. You can enter the WeChat community to discuss the future of blockchain together.
