BTC
ETH
HTX
SOL
BNB
View Market
简中
繁中
English
日本語
한국어
ภาษาไทย
Tiếng Việt

Deribit Option Market Report: 0819 — Rapid drop

Deribit德瑞课堂
特邀专栏作者
This article is about 1084 words, reading the full article takes about 2 minutes
The options open interest was US$1.6 billion, the option trading volume was US$190 million, and Bitcoin fell back to US$11,750. Although the RV calculated at the closing price is very low, the hedging RV is not low for most people.
AI Summary
Expand
The options open interest was US$1.6 billion, the option trading volume was US$190 million, and Bitcoin fell back to US$11,750. Although the RV calculated at the closing price is very low, the hedging RV is not low for most people.

Bitcoin fell back to $11,750, and IV also fell back quickly. In yesterday's broadcast, according to various data, Bitcoin failed to effectively break away from $12,000, and there was a rapid correction today. The drop of Ethereum is more obvious, and it is close to the price of the previous sideways platform near $400.

BTC historical volatility

【BTC Options】

BTC historical volatility

10d 43% 

30d 58%

90d 50%

1Y  80%

Implied volatility for each normalized term:

Implied volatility for each normalized term:

Today: 1m 65%, 3m 75%, 6m 76%

8/18:1m 70%, 3m 77%, 6m 78%

Skewness:

Skewness:

Today: 1m +5.9%, 3m +9.3%, 6m +15.8%

8/18:1m +7.9%, 3m +9.3%, 6m +13.8%

The short-term skew is falling, and the medium and long-term call options are rising instead. The trend of skew is completely different from the previous few days, and the long-term skew has returned to its historical high.

It can be seen from BTC Option Flows that selling call accounts for 39% today, with a nominal value of about 3,000 coins. In the market where the breakthrough fails, it is a very common phenomenon to increase the bullish price.

From the perspective of changes in open interest, options due at the end of the month occupy the mainstream of transactions, and the trading volume at par is large, which is a rare situation in this round of bull market. It may be that some of the dormant sell-side strategies are starting to run again.

secondary title

ETH Historical Volatility

ETH Historical Volatility

10d 78% 

30d 83%

90d 67%

1Y 101%

Each standardized period IV:

Each standardized period IV:

The price of Ethereum did not rise yesterday, but the IV has risen; today the price has fallen, and the IV has also fallen, but it is still at a high level, and there may be more sellers in the next month.

8/18 :  1m 99%,3m 99%,6m 91% 

The price of Ethereum did not rise yesterday, but the IV has risen; today the price has fallen, and the IV has also fallen, but it is still at a high level, and there may be more sellers in the next month.

Ethereum’s Call Sell today has a nominal value of 17,700 coins, Call Buy has 15,400 coins, and there is also a Call Block of 5,000 coins. A total of 80% of transactions are for call options. The balance of the trade has tipped and there is now a very serious imbalance between calls and puts on Ethereum.

期权
投资
ETH
BTC
Welcome to Join Odaily Official Community