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OKEx investment research: change the soup but not the medicine, Bitcoin may copy the previous trend

欧易OKX
特邀专栏作者
This article is about 1684 words, reading the full article takes about 3 minutes
History repeating itself is not a simple step-by-step process. Past trends can only be used as a reference, and understanding the logic of its formation and end is fundamental.
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History repeating itself is not a simple step-by-step process. Past trends can only be used as a reference, and understanding the logic of its formation and end is fundamental.

BTC/USDT Perpetual Contract

The nature of each level: daily line - consolidation, 4 hours - consolidation, 1 hour - rise

The screenshot is from the 2-hour chart of the OKEX BTC/USDT perpetual contract: For the market, there are two angles, one is the objective trend status and the coping strategies formulated according to the objective trend, and the other is the subjective prediction based on experience. Actual trading is mainly based on coping strategies under objective trends. Subjective forecasting is more of a prospect or entertainment for future development. It cannot be used directly as a trading strategy. The main purpose is to prepare psychologically for potential risks and opportunities in advance .

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BTC/USDT Perpetual Contract

The nature of each level: daily line - consolidation, 4 hours - consolidation, 1 hour - rise

The current objective trend and coping strategy: The trend last night is relatively consistent with our prediction in the evening review. The currency price did continue to rebound after entanglement around 9300, but the rebound was weaker than expected. Even the lower limit of 9500 we expected was not reached, and it fell back when the highest reached 9437, which shows that the strength of the bulls in this round of market is worse than we expected.

resistance and support

That being the case, let's not have too high expectations for short-term upside. At present, the currency price has stopped falling and stabilized after briefly breaking through the short-term key support of the 9300 line. That is to say, a false break of the 9300 support has been formed. It is recommended to continue to pay attention to the support of 9300. This price is still the key to determine whether this round of rebound is over. If you can see that the closing price clearly falls below this price in the 1-hour chart, then the probability of an effective breakout is high. This round of rebound It is also likely to end. Otherwise, the short-term trend will continue to be cautiously bullish, and the upper resistance will still focus on the 9500-9600 area. If there is an obvious stagflation signal in this area (just look at the 1-hour chart), it may be a good opportunity to play empty orders.

Resistance: 9400--9500--9600

ETH/USDT Perpetual Contract

The nature of each level: daily line - consolidation, 4 hours - consolidation, 1 hour - rise

Support: 9300--9170--9000

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ETH/USDT Perpetual Contract

The screenshot is from the 2-hour chart of OKEX ETH/USDT perpetual contract: the current objective trend and coping strategies: the trend of ETH is also more in line with the prediction of last night’s evaluation. fall.

resistance and support

It is recommended to pay attention to the effectiveness of the first-line support at 241 (it has been reminded in the group communication in the early trading), and this price can be regarded as the dividing line of strength and weakness within the day. As long as there is no clear break below 241, the risk of falling is not great , the probability of continued rebound is high. However, it must also be clear that the current market environment (the game of stock funds) has a low probability of going out of a large-scale unilateral market, so don't blindly expect too much upside space, and the 250 line is still an important resistance.

Resistance: 245--248--250

EOS/USDT Perpetual Contract

The nature of each level: daily line - falling, 4 hours - consolidation, 1 hour - rising

Support: 241--235--231

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The screenshot is from the 2-hour chart of OKEX EOS/USDT perpetual contract: the current objective trend and countermeasures: the trend of EOS is also more in line with last night's evaluation and prediction, and the rebound of the currency price was blocked around 2.64 and fell back.

resistance and support

Resistance: 2.64--2.70--2.80

At present, the fall has not fallen below the 2.56 first-line support we mentioned yesterday. This support can be regarded as the intraday or short-term strength boundary. If it does not fall below, it means that the rebound pattern is still there, so there will be momentum to continue the rebound, but also It is difficult to make a big difference. Continue to focus on the 2.64-2.70 resistance zone. If it really rebounds to this range in the later stage, it is easy to generate better short-term short-selling opportunities.

Subjective expectations (for entertainment only): It is estimated that the currency price will continue to rebound, and it is expected to form a short-term top after breaking through 2.64 slightly. This paragraph is not intended as a trading strategy reference.

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