What are the hot spots in the current market that can attract retail investors? DeFi and ETH2.0 have little effect

币圈掘金者

特邀专栏作者

2020-06-18 15:49 (UTC+8)

This article is about 1650 words, reading the full article takes about 3 minutes

The operation of selling high and buying low can be carried out within the range, but two measures must be taken.

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The operation of selling high and buying low can be carried out within the range, but two measures must be taken.

Recently, the market has entered a flat period again. In the past week, except for a bottom-out on Monday, the overall market is still running in the range of 9300-9600, which seems extremely deserted. In the final analysis, there are no new hot spots in the current market, and there are no points worthy of everyone's attention.

In fact, from the perspective of the entire currency market, it is not completely without hot spots. In terms of Bitcoin, the recent rectification incident of Sichuan and Yunnan Mining is in full swing, and the dispute over Bitmain has also become fierce. Some altcoin exchanges have also exposed malicious trading and intentional cutting. Leek and other events, many of which are top-ranked exchanges on Feixiaohao.

In other respects, projects such as DeFi, ETH2.0, and Filcoin have also been screened recently. The market value of tokens on DeFi has reached 3.2 billion US dollars, which was only 2 billion US dollars ten days ago. Although ETH2.0 and Flicoin have not yet been launched, the attention in the market is already very high, but these hot spots are more biased towards project flow, and are not reflected in the price, so the attention of retail investors is not high.

It is understandable that the current market wants to create a "transitional period" hotspot to attract customers, but it turns out that it is not so easy. No mining rectification or company struggle can be directly reflected in the currency price. It is not that I don't want to understand the concept of conveying this idea to everyone. , sometimes the logic of this is really hard to understand.

Many times people don't care about what happened in the upstream and downstream circles of the currency market. What they often want to get is a conclusion, telling everyone directly whether it will rise or fall. Many non-professional traders do not have so much time to pay attention to the logic in this area.

As for ETH2.0 and DeFi, it is even more difficult to attract the attention of retail investors. These are more like a carnival of technology flows, and at least from the current point of view, it is difficult to guide the sentiment of the entire market with good things that have nothing to do with Bitcoin.

To be honest, in the currency circle, the thinking of many investors is that I am here to speculate in coins. You always tell me what I mean by decentralized lending and decentralized storage. Why not just talk about how many times the price of the currency can increase? , in many cases, formal projects are not based on the currency price and cannot give a clear answer, so there are few people who pay attention, and many altcoins that are only on paper can talk about the hype, and they can also clearly tell investors how high the rise is. , and at the same time cooperate with the project side to pull the market, naturally many people pay attention, and of course many people are cut off in the end.

So we found that there are not many factors that can really adjust the sentiment of retail investors, either like the halving of Bitcoin, which is obvious without too much thought, or the official stimulus like "10.24" last year, but The second time may not work, unless the situation is no longer as ambiguous as before, and the government's clarification will be in vain.

Retail investors in the currency circle have always been more and more cautious. These years, from high expectations for the news at the beginning to no fluctuations in their hearts later, it is because they have experienced too much and disappointed too much. If there are changes, the benefits will really come true, otherwise, no matter how you emphasize the potential benefits, you will put a question mark on it.

Therefore, in addition to the positive news that can be confirmed, only the exact price increase on the disk can drive the sentiment of retail investors. At the beginning of the year, $10,000 is not so common, so everyone will always have expectations, but it has been repeated around 10,000 recently, and it is still difficult to formalize it. Stand up, so the atmosphere gradually cools down, unless it can reach the position of 10500 in the future, it can attract more retail investors' attention.

The deterministic news we have always said is positive, including the rise in prices to attract the attention of retail investors, so if there is bad news and a sharp drop in prices, will it bring vitality to the market? Although there are many investors who will take advantage of the sharp drop to buy the bottom, the sharp drop often brings about a relatively large negative impact, which is true of almost any financial market. This year's "312" is a classic example.

This morning, I checked the bottom a little bit, but immediately closed it again. It can be seen that the current struggle between long and short still exists. In fact, it has been running for a long time around 9000, and it will not be smashed or pulled. There is a high probability that it is still washing up and collecting money. It is expected that there will be a chance to explore the wind direction of 10,000 US dollars in the near future, but will it be before that? It is relatively large uncertainty to lure the air first.