Deribit Options Market Report: 0616 - Position and Delivery

【Target Performance】

BTC historical volatility

7d 52.77%  

14d 40.29%

30d 58.95%

60d 69.16%

1Y 89.71%

ETH Historical Volatility

7d 62.16%  

14d 48.67%

30d 71.07%

60d 77.07%

1Y 105.12%

Deribit Deri's trading class (ID: deri_trader)

【BTC Options】

, published with permission.

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Implied volatility for each normalized term:

【Target Performance】

6/15：1m 66%, 3m 70%, 6m 75%

ETH Historical Volatility

Skewness:

The intraday volatility of BTC was actually significant yesterday, but the closing price did not change much, and the historical volatility continued to decline.

6/15：1m -8.4%, 3m +0.9%, 6m +7.2%

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【BTC Options】

The open interest is 1.1 billion US dollars, and the open interest continues to be at a relatively high level.

The trading volume is heavy.

Today: 1m -10.0%, 3m -2.2%, 6m +4.7%

The open interest is distributed according to the strike price as follows, and the open interest of out-of-the-money Call is significant.

As shown in the distribution of open interest according to maturity date, most of the main open interest is concentrated in June. After the delivery, it is worth looking forward to how the position exchange will be carried out.

【ETH Options】

In recent months, the left side has intensified, and Put has become significantly more expensive. The 3-month Put also started to become more expensive. The 6-month term is still more expensive for Call, but the degree has been weakened a lot.

The ratio of Put/Call Ratio positions has risen rapidly, and the current ratio is 0.64. It exceeded the average value of 0.58 in the past 3 months.

Each standardized period IV:

In the new trading volume, Put still takes the lead, 1.21 times that of Call.

6/15：1m 72%，3m 75%，6m 79%

The open interest is distributed according to the strike price as follows, and the open interest of out-of-the-money Call is significant.

Skewness:

As shown in the distribution of open interest according to maturity date, most of the main open interest is concentrated in June. After the delivery, it is worth looking forward to how the position exchange will be carried out.

6/15：1m -0.7%, 3m +7.9%, 6m +8.9%

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【ETH Options】

Call Sells: 38%

Put Sells: 32%

The open interest is 152 million US dollars, which is at a relatively high level.

The trading volume increased steadily.

Each standardized period IV:

Jeff Liang

Balance (At the Money, ATM)

【Glossary】

Implied Volatility (IV)

It is the volatility value derived by substituting the option trading price in the market into the BSM option pricing model. That is, what is the implied volatility value in the option quotation. The name is very vivid.

BSM is the abbreviation of the last names of the three authors of the model, namely Black-Scholes-Merton.

Historical Volatility (HV) or Realized Volatility (RV)

Both terms have the same meaning.

It is a measure of the past volatility of the underlying price.

Specifically, it is to take the daily rate of return of the target (the logarithmic rate of return of the closing price to the closing price), within the specified date sample interval (such as the past 7 days, 30 days, 60 days, etc.), calculate the daily return rate of this series of days The standard deviation of returns. Multiply by the square root of the transaction time included in a year (the stock market is multiplied by the root sign 250, and the digital currency market is multiplied by the root sign 365) for annualization. The resulting value is the historical volatility.

Skewness

An indicator to measure the value of false value Call and false value Put.

Take the IV of Call whose delta absolute value is also 0.25 and subtract the IV of Put. If a positive value is obtained, the false value Call will be more expensive, which is called right bias (observe the coordinate axis of the strike price, if the right is on the right, the strike price will be higher) .

If a negative value is obtained, the false value of Put is more expensive, which is called left bias (observe the coordinate axis of the strike price, if left, the strike price is lower).

In the Skew.com website, the opposite difference is applied, which is the Put IV minus the Call IV of 0.25 Delta. So the sign needs to be adjusted. However, after rotating its coordinate axis counterclockwise by 90%, the distinction between left and right is still very clear.

Balance (At the Money, ATM)

Options with a strike price near the current underlying price are called at-the-money options.

The absolute value of the Delta of the (near-month) at-the-money option is close to 0.50, and the absolute values ​​of Gamma, Theta, and Vega are all maximized around this area.

Out of the Money (OTM)

Call: The exercise price is above the spot price, such as the spot price is 7,000, and the strike price is 10,000.

Put: The exercise price is below the spot price, such as the spot price is 7000, and the strike price is 6000.

The out-of-the-money option price returns to zero at expiration.

The delta absolute value of the (near-month) out-of-the-money option is between 0 and 0.50, and the absolute values ​​of Gamma, Theta, and Vega are relatively small.

Real value (In the Money, ITM)

Call: The strike price is lower than the spot price, for example, the spot price is 7000, and the strike price is 6000.

Options with a strike price near the current underlying price are called at-the-money options.

The absolute value of the Delta of the (near-month) at-the-money option is close to 0.50, and the absolute values ​​of Gamma, Theta, and Vega are all maximized around this area.

Out of the Money (OTM)

Call: The exercise price is above the spot price, such as the spot price is 7,000, and the strike price is 10,000.

Put: The exercise price is below the spot price, such as the spot price is 7000, and the strike price is 6000.

The out-of-the-money option price returns to zero at expiration.

The delta absolute value of the (near-month) out-of-the-money option is between 0 and 0.50, and the absolute values ​​of Gamma, Theta, and Vega are relatively small.

Real value (In the Money, ITM)