The rally is gratifying, why can Ethereum dominate?

区块链骑士

特邀专栏作者

2020-05-31 12:20 (UTC+8)

This article is about 1410 words, reading the full article takes about 3 minutes

If data indicators can make money, how can retail investors lose money?

AI Summary

Expand

If data indicators can make money, how can retail investors lose money?

There is no market news today, and the following analysis will also mention some analytical thinking in terms of news.

BTC market analysis

This is yesterday's analysis trend chart, let's go to correspond to the trend; why is it exactly the same as the trend? On the one hand, it is because the tail market of the BTC band is about to come out, everyone is optimistic, I am talking about the tail market of this band,This band is the band from 8600-9900 corrected to around 10,000, so the trend is relatively simple at the beginning, because the main target of participation in the second half is retail investors.

Why are retail investors?

If you know how to collect market information and signals before operating, you will understand that before yesterday and yesterday, most of the market analysts and most of the data expressed that the bearish sentiment was far greater than the bullish sentiment; yesterday some fans asked me , why does your analysis have no data indicators, only dry and incomprehensible analysis?

My official answer (the official answer is that the person in charge of our official media asked me to answer this way)The market indicators and data can only represent signals, not results; the input of signals needs to go through your own analysis and processing program, and then output the trading strategy, and finally generate the execution results.

It's not that we don't look at the data, we omit the data and focus on establishing investment logic and thinking for everyone. This is where we differ from any analyst.

My personal answer is, TMD, if data indicators can make money, how can retail investors lose money, and who can make money? If technical indicators can make money, why do you need macro analysts?

Although we are talking about trend analysis, we do technical analysis based on the in-depth analysis of macro-analysis fundamentals. The judgment of the macro trend is the premise of the transaction. If the direction is wrongly judged, the profit superposition of the small band is no match for a wrong direction of liquidation. This must be clear!

Speaking of the trend of BTC, in the last period of the 1H cycle, the current trend of the structure is still within the scope of analysis. The strategy is to continue to hold positions and see how the last period breaks through 9600 to above 9800 or even 10000 points. The market sentiment has changed from idling to more, but the 1H cycle has gone to the last stage. Whether it can form a larger cycle of rising depends on the development of the subsequent trend.

ETH market analysis

Cognition is the foundation of an optimist!

The ETH daily buying range is 197-200 (see the analysis on the 28th); the second hourly buying point is 224 (see the analysis on the 29th).

Looking at the picture to talk about the review, first of all, the daily buying point of 197-200 is brought by the 4H cycle. At that time, we analyzed that the sentiment of participation in the entire ETH was smaller than that of BTC, so the market volatility was relatively small, resulting in fewer and more market participants. It is easier to unify ideas and not sell much, so it is easier to pull up. Therefore, we boldly determined that the deterministic opportunity of ETH is very good, and we can participate in 3-5 positions.

And ETH is indeed like our analysis, but it slightly exceeded our expectations because it directly broke through the pressure range of 215. The analysis on the 29th is that ETH has the support of 2.0 fundamentals, and at the same time the entire market sentiment returns to the mainstream currency, then the trend is likely to continue. strong,So we judge that if the relay center is completed around 220, then the buying point is around 224, obviously all of this is in our judgment.

Let me tell you about the judgment later,The 4H cycle has not yet completed the trend of the first wave, the first resistance level is formed at 250-260, and then platform consolidation begins.XRP market analysis