Short-term investment vs long-term investment, which one is right for you?

On May 20, 2020, a very special transaction was broadcast on the BTC network, which aroused great attention and heated discussions in the circle. It is very special because the input of this transaction comes from block 3654, and this block occurred on the 37th day after Bitcoin's genesis block came out, that is, around the beginning of March 2019.

We all know that very few people knew about Bitcoin at that time, let alone participated in Bitcoin mining. So there are only a handful of people who can use this deal. Therefore, as soon as this transaction appeared, many people in the circle suspected that this transaction was operated by Satoshi Nakamoto. This time the whole circle exploded.

why? Because if this transaction is really by Satoshi, then it shows two things:

One is that Satoshi Nakamoto is really still alive, then people's desire to find Satoshi Nakamoto will be rekindled.

Second, it is possible that more bitcoins will be sold off in the future. According to industry speculation, more than 1 million bitcoins are stored in multiple wallets of Satoshi Nakamoto. In the past, everyone thought that Satoshi Nakamoto was no longer there or the wallet key that stored these bitcoins had been lost, so these bitcoins would never be withdrawn. And now if Satoshi Nakamoto is still alive, the bitcoins in these wallets may be withdrawn and sold. Don't say what will happen if 1 million bitcoins are sold off, even if tens of thousands of bitcoins are sold off, the entire market will be seriously injured.

After this transaction occurred, many teams in the circle began to use various methods to analyze. The results of data tracking show:The transaction was eventually transferred to the coinbase exchange. The coinbase exchange requires KYC certification, but Satoshi Nakamoto will not disclose his identity, so it is considered impossible to be a coinbase user, so this transaction is unlikely to be initiated by Satoshi Nakamoto.

However, this incident still had a certain impact on the market, and the digital currency market collectively plummeted. As of writing, the price of Bitcoin fell to the line of 9,000 US dollars, and the price of Ethereum fell below 200 US dollars.

During the period before and after the halving, due to the interweaving and influence of various factors, the currency price often changes suddenly, which poses a great challenge to many short-term investors.

In my articles, I seldom talk about short-term hype, but in fact I often read various short-term hype articles, because I can also see the experience and lessons worth learning from.

For example, on a public account with short-term operations, recent articles have been looking at the market after the halving, so readers are advised to increase their positions. However, this sudden market drop caught the readers who increased their positions by surprise, and aroused strong emotions. One of the comments was quite representative: Why did you call short when the currency price was 3,000 US dollars, while the currency price was 9,000 US dollars? Do you call out more dollars?

For long-term investors (such as me), it must be that the lower the price, the happier it will be, which will increase the intensity of regular investment.But for short-term speculation, the absolute price level is not the focus of attention, but the next trend of the price should be the focus of attention.

Therefore, it is inappropriate to judge that this operation is unreliable simply by calling short at $3,000 and calling long at $9,000. However, it is difficult for many investors to accept this way of thinking, which is an embarrassment that articles that provide short-term hype strategies often face.

In fact, as far as long-term investment and short-term investment themselves are concerned, different methods and different strategies can be used to obtain benefits, and it doesn't matter which one is good and which is not.

But in short-term investment, many investors often can't control themselves, keep in mind the market all the time, and can't help but want to watch and keep an eye on the market, for fear of missing the opportunity to make short-term price difference. Investing has become the whole of his life. I don't think this is the state of life we ​​should have. Investment should only be a part of our life.

And take the long-term investment method, look at the general direction, make regular investments at regular intervals, do not need frequent operations, do not need to keep an eye on the market, and turn investment into a part of life. This is our healthy way of life.