Less than 15 hours after the BTC halving, is the market outlook empty or long?
【Currency Market Overview】
【Currency Market Overview】http://history.btc126.com/half/The biggest hotspot today is that "BTC is less than 15 hours away from the official halving" (click the link to view the halving countdown:
), I don’t know if it can fall back to 3800 points, but I’m afraid it’s hopeless to pull up to 2W points within these 15 hours, Hhhh.
In fact, I think everyone may have some misunderstandings about the bull market. They always think that only breaking through the new high of 20,000 is the only thing that should be halved. It can be clearly seen that the sharp rise in currency prices brought about by each halving is not achieved overnight, but a process. It is unlikely to hit a new high on the day of the halving. More new highs are gradually achieved within one year to one and a half years after the official halving. This process is more in line with the characteristics of a bull market. Cancer stocks also went up little by little from 3000 to 6000 points. It’s not that there is no callback and no brainstorming, right?
In addition, I want to say that the definition of "bull" is the definition of "bull". I won't mention the bull-bear lifeline of MA200. If 20,000 points are tripled to 60,000 points, and if more than 3,000 points are tripled, there will be nearly 10,000 points. "Halving the bull market", I think it's okay~
【BTC overview】
On the disk, BTC closed down sharply yesterday, which not only recovered the space for the 5.07 positive line to rise, but also recovered the nearly two-week increase since 4.30, and hit a new low at the same time, and finally successfully tested the rising trend line at the daily line level. Closed in the middle, it is worth noting that the performance of this volume and price confirms my judgment on "ladder shipments" in the process of this wave of pull-ups. Although the large-level trend line has not been broken, it does not mean that there will never be a break here. Will break (Huobi price $8200), the next trend is as follows
【Daily level】
A rebound is expected, because there will still be a lot of buying around 8400. At present, the short sellers are also showing signs of sluggishness and do not follow. It is expected to rise upwards, meet resistance near 9300 and fall back to a new low, which will form a large level of double The top shape, this trend should last for a long time, if the double top is established, the market outlook will basically enter the bear market.
[hour level]
It is close to the upper track of the Bollinger Bands. If you can’t attack for a long time around 8850, you can look at the bottom around 8500. If you can’t break the backhand and open long, you can consider intervening here. If it falls below the previous low of 8093, the downward space will be opened, and you can chase short positions with wet positions.
【Other species】
【Other species】
【ETH】
The analysis and suggestions are mainly based on the intraday hourly chart, and the large-scale trend can refer to BTC
【EOS】
The trend of shock and convergence after the downward kill, the basic top shape has been formed, the key pressure is 196.8, the rebound is in place and it is empty, short-term can be between 191.6-181.5 to sell high and buy low to make a profit
