How should you deal with the long-short double-explosion market?
In the face of drastic market changes, we need to have countermeasures, instead of snapping our thighs when the market comes, or even going against the trend and smashing the pot.
Invest in simplicity, the simpler and purer the better.
It is mainly a countermeasure for unexpected market conditions. We know that the currency market has an obvious feature. Around 8:00, 12:00, 16:00, and 24:00 Beijing time, there will be sudden market movements. previousarticle analysisIt is said that this has something to do with the funding rate of the perpetual contract.
But in the currency market, the interpretation of the market is not like the traditional stock market, which has clear data and logic to analyze. It is more of a correlation and possibility, which is not reliable. Our various interpretations are also It is just a possibility and probability, which is correct in some market conditions, but falsified in other market conditions, and has no universal significance.
It can only be said that the size of the currency market, market liquidity, and currency depth are limited, and most of the unexpected market conditions are driven by banker funds. We need to analyze this market situation and the sentiment of market investors to make a comprehensive judgment.
Short-term market: This kind of sudden market will end within 5 minutes to 1 hour. The specific performance is the pin insertion operation, a short-term rise and then a fall. This kind of market is not sustainable, so we can judge whether the trend after the pin insertion will continue by analyzing the follow-up market, no more than 4 hours. If it cannot continue, the market will still run according to the trend before the pin insertion. This kind of market is best if you can catch it, and it doesn't matter if you can't catch it and miss it.
Continuous market: This kind of market can generally last for more than 4 hours, showing a steady rise (or continuous negative decline), and at the same time, there is also a cooperation in volume and energy, which is manifested as continuous enlargement. When encountering this kind of market, the MA moving average will guide us. The K line breaks through the suppression of multiple moving averages strongly. When the MA moving average is arranged in a long or short position, it means that a short-term trend is formed, and the follow-up will follow the direction of the trend. After this kind of market appears, we can chase the rise and kill the fall, and keep up with the trend.
Inertial market after pull-up: This kind of market is generally in the middle and late stages of the continuous market. When it rises to a high level and oscillates for a stage, it will rise again in large volume, and the frequency of occurrence at the above key time points is relatively high. The reason for this kind of market is that the market makers make good use of the situation, and through the continuous pull-up (or drop) in the early stage, retail investors feel that the market is really coming. When there are too many high-level retail investors, a joint force is formed. The market is like a truck driving at high speed. Even if the dealer presses the brake button, the inertia caused by the crowd operation of retail investors will make the market continue to explode, and then the retail investors will not be able to buy in the future. Under the circumstances, the market came to an abrupt end.
Breakthrough market after range shock: This kind of market, after the market rises (or falls) to a certain price, shows a trend of range consolidation, and the market fluctuates in the support and pressure range. This kind of market can be operated by buying low and selling high within a small area, but it is very easy to ignore the reversal of the general direction due to frequent short-term profits, resulting in a loss after making a profit on multiple orders. The more this kind of market, the more it is necessary to try and make mistakes with small orders, and arrange stop-profit and stop-loss at key points. When the trend of the market is opposite, it is necessary to stop profit and stop loss in time.
The four market forms introduced above require comprehensive judgment and analysis based on the actual market, and develop your own coping methods in actual combat, and constantly improve your investment and trading system. And this is the core thing in the transaction, far better than the temporary book profit and loss.
Going back to the market, even though the market continues to rise, we are still worried about it. As we said before, the market has a probability of rising, but there is a risk of falling back. Some small partners think this is nonsense. Otherwise. Looking at the weekly level, the current market has been positive for 4 consecutive days this week, but the volume has indeed continued to slump. This week is currently the third day. It is expected that this week’s volume will be slightly greater than last week’s volume, but this volume is enough to support We don't know where the market is going, maybe 7500 or 7800 or maybe 8000. Our concern about such a rise is that we haven't seen the market sentiment transformed into the volume of entry.
And this week is the barefoot positive K that took advantage of last week's big positive line. There are more than 4 trading days left this week. If the follow-up volume can not continue to keep up or break out, the probability of rushing up and falling is not small. Looking at the changes in the daily line, the obvious example is that in November and December last year, there was a rise after the fall and shock. This is the normal process of idling and long. At the same time, the MACD is gradually approaching the 0-axis from below the 0-axis. At this time, the big Yang line broke out, and the bulls' energy broke through the shock range in one fell swoop. The MACD also broke through the 0-axis and officially entered the bullish pattern.
But the current market is not like this. After the decline, the trend rises and the MACD is close to the 0 axis. This has caused a problem. The market has risen rapidly without precipitation and accumulation. In this process, where can the continued increase come from? ? When the MACD is facing the key position of breaking through the 0 axis, can the market continue to maintain explosive power and help the MACD break through the 0 axis in one fell swoop? These are the parts that need to be questioned.
At present, the MACD is near the 0 axis, and the price is also at a high level. There are two possibilities at the moment. One is that the market will further rise to 8000 with an explosion of greater energy, and at the same time, the MACD will break through the 0 axis. Another possibility is that the upward momentum is weak, and the MACD then forms a dead fork and returns to a downward trend. At least part of the volume needs to be accumulated before it can rise again. Su Zhe personally tends to the second trend.
In fact, the short-term and mid-line are quite entangled, because many friends can't hold the list and can only get short-term profits, but they want to get more profits from the mid-line. This can only vary from person to person. When you can take a profit of 100 pips, only half of the position will be closed, and the remaining half of the position will continue to be placed there to gain greater profits, and the stop loss point will be moved down to the opening price. A friend who seeks stability is to get a full balance after eating profits, depending on everyone's ability to accept.
In fact, the short-term and mid-line are quite entangled, because many friends can't hold the list and can only get short-term profits, but they want to get more profits from the mid-line. This can only vary from person to person. When you can take a profit of 100 pips, only half of the position will be closed, and the remaining half of the position will continue to be placed there to gain greater profits, and the stop loss point will be moved down to the opening price. A friend who seeks stability is to get a full balance after eating profits, depending on everyone's ability to accept.
Today's market is walking around. It feels like harvesting leeks with the gimmick of bch's production reduction... No order was given today. At noon yesterday, I placed a long order near 7230 in the group, and at least 100-200 points of profit can be obtained. Half of the order can be kept for greater profits, or it can be fully evened. It depends on everyone's acceptance, it is impossible The profit of each transaction is full.
Last night, the group gave an empty order, and the empty order near 7440 can also get a profit of more than 100-200 points, and it is still possible to harvest today. In the first two days, there were relatively few orders. When the market was bad, I took a break. When the market was good, I made orders to make money. I felt happy.
Su Zhe thinks that no one will take you to make money for free, so some people really believe it by using some profit charts of small platform simulation disks... Everyone is an adult, so think more about everything. Friends who want to know more about the inside story of the currency circle teacher or play contracts can follow and contact Su Zhe [BTCsuzhe], and show you the currency circle teacher's single routine and contract racing.
What I have been talking to you about recently is about the platform. Don’t go to the small platform. There are really many routines. Don’t believe in the one-on-one professional free guidance contract. Friends have experienced this, deeply touched.
Su Zhe thinks that no one will take you to make money for free, so some people really believe it by using some profit charts of small platform simulation disks... Everyone is an adult, so think more about everything. Friends who want to know more about the inside story of the currency circle teacher or play contracts can follow and contact Su Zhe [BTCsuzhe], and show you the currency circle teacher's single routine and contract racing.
