The short trend has not reversed, be wary of attracting more

Overall market:

Recently, it is a "2.0" version of the market. The BTC daily line has not produced the expected strong supply in the ideal key supply area. The 4-hour level has recovered after two upward test pins at 3.13 and 3.16. It is a strong supply Proof, but after the follow-up triangular convergence market chose to break through upwards, the sentiment of following the bulls caused the price to rise all the way. After a slight stagnation at the resistance of 6200, the stop loss of the short order was swept upwards. Suppression, the key pressure is around 6650

Gangzhen, this wave of operations is indeed very 6. It can be said that the Air Force was caught off guard, including myself. I was also stopped several short orders in a row. I once doubted whether there was a problem in the analysis. After careful review, I found that it was not no

First of all, it is clear thatThe short trend will not be reversed just because of these few good-looking positive lines. Any trend requires the transformation of long and short forces, a process from supply and demand imbalance to balance, and then to imbalance，I haven't seen this process, so I firmly believe that this is just a rebound in the down band, and the overall trend is still dominated by bears

So why is it going up? Excluding the fundamentals, from the perspective of the market, the area around 3500 is the last psychological defense line of the investing public. I believe that many troops will strictly guard against it (this can be seen from the long shadow line left by the large-scale killing), Of course, the bears know this. The profit-making of some short positions + the bottom-hunting behavior of the belief bulls will cause the price to stabilize and rebound around 3500, and the subsequent breakthrough at the end of convergence will further strengthen the confidence of the bulls, which will stimulate retail investors to continue to flow into chips. Because they firmly believe that this is the bottom, and the bull market will start here, as shown in the figure below

On the other hand, the main force is also fueling the flames behind the scenes. As shown in the figure below, the price performance at several key positions, from the continuous upward pinning to catch up with the long army while strengthening the short bargaining chips, and the final upward breakthrough to sweep away the empty orders and stop losses. Bulls, accelerate the rise to create the illusion of multi-army prosperity, 6600 chasing the bulls and then falling down, 04:00 heavy volume Pinbar to pick up the bulls who have not got on the car, the operation is very powerful, the main force V2.0

Next, we just need to wait to see if this heavy-volume Pinbar can be followed by bulls. If there is no bulls to follow and continue to attack 6600, then the price will likely plummet and return to the short position. The bulls here will be locked up. We need to watch as we go to see if we can break a new low. After all, there are still a lot of beliefs below, and it will slowly grind to the bottom, which is the big trend in the future.

Before the halving on May 14, will the main dealers still pump up their shipments?

Not so much at the moment, the main logic is that the cost of promotion is too high, which is not in line with the interests of the main force, and they will hope to sell the price at an advantageous position

Will it fall to 4000 in the later period? Where is the bottom and where is the top in the near future?

If you look at it in 4 hours, the short-term pressure will be at 6800. If it breaks, then 7500 and 8000 are relatively important pressure levels. If it is 4000, it depends on whether the point I mentioned above will happen. If it does happen, then 4000 will arrive soon

If the rebound recovers this wave of losses, does it mean a reversal?

Trading straregy

Trading straregy

ETH Strategy Today

ETH Strategy Today

EOS Strategy Today

EOS Strategy Today

The rebound after the down band runs in an upward channel, the downward trend has not reversed, and the pressure of the key supply line at the 4-hour level is received. In terms of thinking, BTC and ETH are continued. The rebound force is exhausted and intervened in short selling. At the same time, take profit at the bottom of the channel and consider backhanding Go long, if there is a breakthrough in heavy volume, it can be chased, key pressure: 2.3-2.38, key support: 1.92, 1.66

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