Buying the bottom: the great game of courage and wisdom
Overall market:
Overall market:
Small talk: Today’s tweet is named so, mainly because the price happened to rebound to around 8800 after touching the support of 8400 at the time of writing. My pending order at 8450 last night is currently relatively low. If there is an opportunity to enter the market but there is no intervention, forget it
Then there was a series of voices as the price rose: "The bull market is back!" "It's a pity that the pending order has been cancelled."
In fact, seeing this information is not surprising at all. Since the trading market has existed, whether it is stocks, futures, foreign exchange, or digital currency, at any time, a price fluctuation will affect the hearts of retail investors, and retail investors will be overjoyed because of the floating profit in their books Crazy, supercilious, but also irritable and irritable because of the floating losses in the book, carrying orders and increasing positions and falling into the quagmire.
History repeats itself, human nature never changes.
Buying bottoms requires courage, but compared to courage, I think learning to give up is the way to survive.
The huge risk brought by the bottom-hunting behavior is enough to make a person bankrupt, and it is relatively safe to give up the rebound profit and intervene in the short position at a high level. One hopes to grasp the market 100%, eat both long and short, and use the trading market as a cash machine Those who are successful will return their profits to the market at a price of hundreds of times sooner or later. Many masters throughout the ages have fallen on this road.
Knowing that you can't do it, stupid!
It's a pity, one after another.
Ignorance, conceit | Planted seeds will bear fruit sooner or later.
The short position is heavy and the 9400 is broken, the 9100 is shaky, the rebound is hopeless, and the mainstream currencies are fully bearishThe short position is heavy and the 9400 is broken, the 9100 is shaky, the rebound is hopeless, and the mainstream currencies are fully bearish), the current price has come to the key support around 8400, which is basically the first target position for bears, and there must be some supporting forces to stop it.
If it can attract the intervention of chasing the market, then the price is expected to form some rebound here. The strength of the rebound is unknown, but what is clear is that this round of bull market has ended, and the market is dominated by bears. Under the background of bears, no matter what the bulls do, They can't make any waves, and in the end they will all fail when the support level is broken by heavy volume! (You can go and have a look at 9400, 9100, how optimistic the "bottom" was once, how is it now?)
Is this wave of decline a callback by the bulls?
I don’t think so. Personally, I think it’s the end of this bullish market. The market will enter a unilateral downtrend dominated by short sellers. The main reason is that the bulls have insufficient bargaining chips, the inflow of funds outside the market is insufficient, the macro economy is going down, and at the same time, there are ladders on the technical side. Shipment + leaving the market, although I am also looking forward to a new high in the halving market, but unfortunately, the market tells me that it is not a bull market for halving, and the price will continue to fall
How much can you bargain?
I don't know the specific point, because in the trend market, all the indicators used to predict the price are likely to fail. For example, you can replay the market. An obvious fact: when the market has not come out, any behavior that tries to predict It's all in vain.
What you thought was 6,000 iron bottom, is it different to 3,200 points? At 3200, if you bought the bottom at 6000, you had a floating loss of more than 50%. Are you still willing to buy the bottom?
What to do with the spot
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2.27 strategy: Pinziding has not been fully established. The ideal short-selling position is at 8.4, but it is relatively difficult to rebound. Pay attention to the new pressure structure that may be formed at 7.88. If there is a signal, you can intervene in short-selling
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