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The market fluctuates violently, and the door-shaped trend appears frequently, pay attention to the huge risks in the futures market

币圈掘金者
特邀专栏作者
This article is about 2106 words, reading the full article takes about 4 minutes
BTC fluctuates violently in the short term, and both longs and shorts frequently appear. The operation strategy is mainly fixed investment, and the risk of violent market fluctuations is offset by the strategy of building positions in batches.
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BTC fluctuates violently in the short term, and both longs and shorts frequently appear. The operation strategy is mainly fixed investment, and the risk of violent market fluctuations is offset by the strategy of building positions in batches.

Facebook, which is in the midst of regulatory turmoil due to the Libra stable currency, is facing an unprecedented crisis due to the leak of internal documents: NBC News obtained nearly 7,000 pages of confidential internal documents about Facebook and made them public. These documents were exposedHow Facebook uses user data as a bargaining chip to consolidate its dominance as a social giant, how it plans to monitor the location of Android users, how it controls competitors, and even kills them before they hatch。

This incident put Facebook in jail again, but behind itThe user data privacy and security issues involved deserve attention。

Throughout the development of the Internet industry, no matter in the PC era, e-commerce era, or mobile Internet era,"Those who get traffic win the world" is the golden rule, and user growth is the core issue that Internet companies pay attention to, The cost of marketing and customer acquisition around user growth is also increasing day by day. Whoever has a large amount of user information will have a first-mover advantage.

For Internet companies,Collect consumption habits, behavior characteristics, personal data and other information from users, and conduct big data analysis on these information to tap the potential consumption ability and value of users, so as to provide better service to users. This is a common way of playing in the industry and is beyond reproach.

However, there has been no conclusion on the ownership of user data for a long time, and there is no perfect legal supervision. Instead, it has become the core property of Internet companies.Excessive collection, use and disclosure of users' personal information, and even the act of stealing and selling user information for illegal purposes, causing great trouble and harm to the user's personal privacy.

How to ensure that companies do not do evil in user information collection and data security and privacy has always been a difficult problem in the industry, and there is a lack of effective regulatory channels. last yearEurope has introduced the General Data Protection Regulation (GDPR), which regulates how companies collect, use and process the personal data of EU citizens, known as the "strictest data privacy regulation" in the world, can be regarded as putting shackles on related companies, but it is still difficult to prevent the emergence of problems only through legal means.

As the country regards "blockchain as an important breakthrough for independent innovation of core technology" and vigorously develops and encourages blockchain technology, there is a new solution to user data privacy issues.

The characteristics of blockchain technology, such as traceability, inability to tamper, and controllable process, can be controlled through authority. Regarding issues related to user identity authentication, data privacy, etc., it can only be used with restrictions after authorization and confirmation from the user. method, which can protect the legitimate rights and interests of users as data subjectsOperation suggestion:

Operation suggestion:

BTC: From last Friday to today, the market has experienced ups and downs. First, it plummeted from US$9,200 to US$8,700, and then consolidated in the range of US$8,700-8,900. In the early hours of this morning, it rose violently, from US$8,800 within 2 minutes The low point rose to 9100 US dollars, continued to fall this afternoon, and fell back to the low of 8800 US dollars,The trend of the gate shape is reproduced, and the dealer has a high degree of control over the market。

The sharp fluctuations in the market are still aimed at the futures contract market, and it is meaningless to go like this in the spot market. Judging from the big data of futures contracts, from last Friday to the present, the total amount of BTC contract positions has been gradually reduced, and the increase is not obvious, which means that the amount of increasing positions can not be much, but users are gradually closing positions, while market makers Within a few days, the trend was reversed, and the market was bloodbathed. First, the longs were blown, then the shorts were blown, and then the longs were blown up, successfully eliminating the futures contract positions of retail investors and some hot money.

If the market wants to improve, it needs to accumulate the contract positions of retail investors again. The follow-up market is expected to usher in a rebound amidst the shocks. However, comparing prices, $10,000 and $9,000 are still two key points, and $9,000 is the confidence of the market Points, the market is above 9,000 points, the market sentiment is at least optimistic, and 10,000 points is the pressure position in the near future, only after a breakthrough can more bulls intervene in the market.

The short-term trend is going bad, we can only judge from the level of the daily line. The volume energy released in the past week, whether it is rising or falling, is not too large. It is within the controllable range. The short-term market follows the MA60 daily moving average Adjust up and down, the short-term support is at the MA30 daily moving average, the strong support is in the range of 8200-8600 US dollars, and it is safer to stand above 9000 US dollars (preferably 9200 US dollars).

To us,The short-term operation strategy can only be fixed investment, and the strategy of building positions in batches is used to offset the risk of violent market fluctuations. Short-term operation positions must be set to stop loss operations. It is recommended to play less on futures contracts.。

ETH: The ups and downs of the market have disrupted the trend of mainstream currencies. After ETH fell with the market last week, the hourly level rebounded in shocks, and once recovered the previous decline. Today’s trend is both long and short. At present, it has a short-term support at 186 US dollars. From the perspective of trading volume, the amount of decline is very small, mainly due to the impact of the broader market. There is still a chance to rebound in the future. 190 US dollars is the recent pressure level .

LTC: The trend is the same as that of ETH. It rebounded for a short time but was suppressed by the decline of the market. The current support is at 60 US dollars. The amount of decline can be weak, and the market is relatively stable.

BCH: The overall trend is highly synchronized with BTC. A short-term rebound hit $300, but then fell, and the short-term support is in the range of $282-286. Continue to pay attention to Bitmain’s internal power struggle and IPO-related news.

EOS: The trend is consistent with ETH and LTC. The market is affected by the decline of the market, and the price of the currency has dropped slightly. The short-term support is 3.5 US dollars. After the market stops falling and stabilizes, it will lead the mainstream currency again.

XRP: A currency with a weak trend among mainstream currencies, the short-term rebound can be weak, and the market is facing selling pressure. It is not recommended to participate in the short to medium term.

ETC: In line with the broader market, it rises first and then falls. The short-term support is 4.9 US dollars. The daily line level needs to stand firmly on the MA60 daily moving average.

Platform currency: The overall trend has dropped slightly, and the wait-and-see is the main focus. BNB is still consolidating the trend in the range of 19-21 US dollars, and the volume is weak; HT has obvious signs of decline, and the support of 3.8 US dollars cannot be held, and there is a risk of continued decline in the market; the price of OKB has slightly retreated, and 3 US dollars is the recent consolidation range. After falling below, the risk increases; GT daily line level continues to shrink, and the MA60 daily moving average is seriously running, and short-term wait-and-see is the main focus.

Altcoins: Continue to focus on domestic public chains. Under the drag of the market, the price of the currency has dropped slightly. The daily line level is close to the lower edge of the consolidation range. It is necessary to pay attention to the risk of follow-up decline caused by the continued decline of the market.

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