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Futures contracts are not life-saving straws, and the risks involved need to be rationally understood

币圈掘金者
特邀专栏作者
This article is about 1988 words, reading the full article takes about 3 minutes
BTC fell for a short time, and whether it can recover more than 8,000 US dollars in a short time determines whether the market can stop falling. The negative and downward trend at the daily level has not changed, and the short-term is still dominated by
AI Summary
BTC fell for a short time, and whether it can recover more than 8,000 US dollars in a short time determines whether the market can stop falling. The negative and downward trend at the daily level has not changed, and the short-term is still dominated by

Yesterday, a coin friend asked how to play contract trading. My suggestion is,First understand the contract theoretically, then learn K-line technical knowledge, and practice long-term review and analysis. But coin lovers only care about how to get started quickly and make money, and there is nothing they can do about it.

In fact, the plight of this currency lover is also the common confusion of most retail investors in the current contract market. It is very difficult to make money in the spot market this year. They are all looking for a way to return their capital. Then, under the advocacy of various leading single gods, and the brainwashing of survivors who succeeded in getting rich through contracts, they blindly entered the contract market. After a fierce operation, I found that the more I played, the less I played, and the more I played, the bigger the loss, and the situation became even more out of hand.

For the financial market, the first step to enter the market is actually to understand the market and understand the subject matter of your investment itself. On the basis of familiarity with the market and trading rules and risks, it is time to try to enter the market, find methods and test various strategies in practice, and finally find a trading bible that suits you.

The original intention of the futures contract design is to hedge the risks of the spot market, for hedging purposes, and also to revise the currency price expectation to return it to its value. But now it is used by people to gamble, as a tool for getting rich and a touchstone of human nature. For ordinary users, they can't bear the high leverage at all. They only see the potential high returns, but turn a blind eye to the high risks.

we need to knowThe futures contract market and the spot market are completely different types of markets. In the spot market, you can only make money by doing more, and profit depends on buying low and selling high., even if the loss is only a book loss, if the currency price rises in the future, there is still hope of recovering the capital.

In the futures contract market, although both long and short positions can make money, after adding 10 times, 20 times, 50 times or even higher leverage, a small currency price fluctuation will have a greater impact, soInvestors need to invest a huge amount of time and energy to keep an eye on the market, analyze the market trend, and respond quickly to sudden fluctuations, which requires a high level of personal ability, is not something that ordinary people can play at all, but the main battlefield for professional traders. Retail investors are like toddlers in it, they are not the opponents of strong and well-equipped dealers at all, they can only be harvested leeks, liquidated and out.

first,

first,Understand the risks and related knowledge of the futures contract market, Contract varieties, trading rules, technical terms, etc. of major exchanges, on the premise of understanding the rules and the market, consider whether to enter the market.

Secondly, toHave a set of own trading system. The trading system involves the overall thinking of the whole process before, during and after the transaction, from observing the market, analyzing the market to looking for certain opportunities, to formally opening an order, holding a position after opening an order, keeping an eye on the market to choose an opportunity to close the order, stop profit and stop loss etc., as well as the review analysis after completing a transaction, etc., it is a test of personal ability. Without a complete trading system, it is difficult to make a profit.

again, toPay attention to position management. When you are not familiar with the market and are uncertain about the market judgment, the position must be small and the leverage must be low. Only when the predicted market is consistent with the market trend, you can gradually increase the position and leverage ratio. However, it is still not recommended to stud with a full position, and a leverage ratio of 50 times, 100 times or greater is not recommended.

Then,Follow the trend and stop losses in time. When your position loss is getting bigger and bigger, it means that your judgment is wrong. Don't go against the trend, don't think about fighting hard, otherwise the loss will only increase, so you should set a stop loss point for yourself. The lower is 40%-60%. If it exceeds the stop loss position, it is necessary to decisively stop the loss and leave the market to avoid greater losses.The safest strategy is to entrust a reverse stop loss order immediately after placing an order to deal with unexpected market conditions and situations where you don’t have time to deal with it quickly.

Finally, master someOpening strategy. The first is to build positions in batches. Don’t open more than 1/2 of the positions as soon as you operate. Take a small position (such as 1/10) to test the order first. If the judgment is correct, you can increase the position. If the judgment is wrong , You can also quickly do the opposite strategy to avoid losses. the second isHigh and low position order strategy, only place orders near the pressure level and support level, do not place orders in the middle positionOperation suggestion:

Operation suggestion:

BTC: It fell slightly yesterday, once again dropped to the bottom of 7,900 US dollars, and then successfully recovered above 8,000 US dollars. It fell again this afternoon, and the 1-hour level came to around 7,700 US dollars with the amount of energy. Whether the short-term recovery of 8,000 US dollars will determine whether the market can stop the downward trend.At the daily line level, the overall market is still bearish, and the trend of negative decline has not changed, The strong support is in the range of 7000-7500 US dollars, and a lot of energy is needed to give the market confidence to stop the decline and stabilize. In the short term, it is still mainly on the sidelines, waiting for the recovery of market confidence and the large-scale counterattack of the bulls.

ETH: The oscillating trend in the small area did not obviously follow the downward trend of the broader market. The short-term support is 160-165 US dollars, and the pressure is 180 US dollars. If it can stop the decline and stabilize, there is still room for performance in the future.

LTC: The daily line level is negative and falling, and the overall level is oscillating in the range of 50-55 US dollars. The risk of falling below 50 US dollars is intensified, and the lower support is in the range of 40-45 US dollars.

BCH: In the short term, the trend is organized in the range of 210-230 US dollars, the volume is weak, the strong support is 200 US dollars, and the pressure is 240 US dollars. Before the direction of the market is established, the shock trend is the main trend.

EOS: The range of 2.65-2.9 US dollars consolidates the trend, and the risk of falling below 2.6 US dollars intensifies. The overall focus is on the sidelines.

XRP/TRX: Basically in a sideways trend, the short-term layout is not recommended.

ETC: The daily line level is also in a negative trend. If it cannot stop falling to 4.5 US dollars in the short term, it may further fall to around 4 US dollars. The short-term trend has not stabilized, and it is prudent to operate.

Platform currency: The overall linkage with the market fell. In the short term, pay attention to the bottom support situation. If it breaks, there will be a new low. BNB has a short-term support of $14, HT is at $2.9, and OKB has broken below the $2 support. If it cannot be recovered within a short period of time, $2 will become a pressure level, and GT has a short-term support of $0.5.

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