Today's solution: the daily line continues to converge, the high point continues to move down, whether 9200 can be supported again will become the key to long and short

诺海_NhCynora

特邀专栏作者

2019-09-08 11:03 (UTC+8)

This article is about 1578 words, reading the full article takes about 3 minutes

Short and long.

AI Summary

Short and long.

Before analyzing the market, I would like to make some digressions. Regarding the validity of analysis and forecasting, I have always believed that the market is unpredictable. Any arbitrary statement that it must rise/fall today needs to be treated very, very cautiously, because you cannot be sure What is the basis and purpose of what he said, because your interests may be related, but this does not mean that analyzing the market is useless. The purpose of analysis is to help you establish a reasonable understanding of the market and correct expectations , correct analysis can help your transaction generate a probability advantage, just like a casino, the difference between a casino and a gambler is nothing more than the weak probability advantage of 0.0, which can be accumulated over a long period of time is a very amazing profit, such as being a bull Trend, obviously under the same conditions, the winning rate of going long is much higher than that of short selling, but this does not mean that you will definitely make money if you go long without thinking (for example, if you chase long at a pressure position, then you will most likely be Losing money), but if you go long at the support level, there is a very high probability of making money. Behind every successful transaction is correct analysis + sufficient planning + firm execution. If you want to make money in this market, please pay a lot. No less than the efforts of any young model, I advise all viewers to move forward on the right path, watch and cherish.

BTC

BTC daily line level, the price touched around 10400 yesterday, due to a slight rebound due to structural support, it did not fall below the previous day's low of 10250, nor did it break through yesterday's high of 11080, which belongs to the relatively high Inside Bar (pregnancy line) in the upward trend. It is a relatively obvious intraday signal worthy of attention. The method of use can refer to the trading rules of the pregnant line (go long when breaking the high point of the sub-line, short when breaking the low point, and place the stop loss at the high and low point in the opposite direction). At the same time, from the perspective of the range , we found that the price fluctuated back and forth repeatedly in the 9200-14000 area, and the price repeatedly touched the upper and lower edges (the white box and the yellow box in the figure). It is necessary to consider the departure of the bulls, and then the intervention of the bears. At present, it has been supported 4 times near 9200, and the high point above continues to decrease (accumulation is complete), and there is a greater probability that it will go short (unless one Only when the root of the big Yang line breaks through the upper support can the continuation of the bullish market be confirmed)

From the perspective of the overall structure, the triangle after the bullish trend is converging, and the fourth wave is coming to an end. Generally speaking, for the triangle shape, the more important breakthrough will usually be in the fifth wave, which is also the point we need to pay attention to, that is, the yellow wave in the figure. How does the position of the circle behave? The position of the yellow circle is about 9200-9500. This position is not only the lower edge of the pattern convergence, but also the position of repeated support at the bottom. Once it falls below, many bulls' stop loss orders will accelerate the market decline. It is the most important position. In terms of operation strategy, the daily line is in the shape of a pregnant line, breaking up, long and short, but the upside space for long is relatively small, about 200 dollars of risk for 200 dollars of income (except for the big positive line), However, the potential return of shorting is very considerable, 300 dollars is exchanged for 1000 dollars, so it is suggested that the daily line level should be shorted, unless there is a large-scale big Yang line breaking through 11050, (it will turn to long thinking)

The key demand area at the 4-hour level is at 9865 (the red box in the picture). If there are friends with empty orders above, they need to lighten their positions at this position. If there are no long orders, they can place orders in advance here, and the stop loss is 9720

Needless to say, the 1-hour level is currently under the background of short positions, and the rebound market in the key demand area depends on how the price goes at 10615. If it goes up, the key pressure will be 11080. The bulls will reduce their positions, and the shorts will intervene. If they fall back to around 10439, they will lighten their positions Go long, the target is 10615, if it falls and breaks through 10615 in heavy volume, then it will be long near 9906

ETH

Mainly sideways fluctuations, the upper edge is empty, the lower edge is more, the upper edge is broken and then stepped back to do long, the lower edge is broken and the lower edge is stepped back, a textbook-style trading plan

EOS

Break through the first supply area of 3.55. If you can break through the yellow area in the figure, you can see the upper pressure of 4.14. The current operation idea is to call back and do long. If there is no long order, it is not recommended to chase long at this time. If there is a very obvious short signal, it is also OK Intervene here, but the risk is relatively high, light storage

LTC

Shock thinking, important pressure 70.49, first support 64.9, most important support 61.9

BCH

Repeatedly consume the pressure around 302. It is not recommended to go short. It is recommended to step back and do more. Consider lightening up around 310 for long orders. The first support is 290, the second support is 278.75, and the new low watershed is 267