Polymarket WTI Crude Oil Probability of Breaking $95/Barrel in July Rises to 48%, Up 20% in 24 Hours

PPP Prediction Market Tool monitoring shows that in Polymarket's "WTI Crude Oil Price Touchpoint in July" prediction event, the probability of WTI crude oil breaking through $95/barrel has reached 48%, up 20% in 24 hours; the probability of breaking through $100/barrel has risen to 32%, up 14% in 24 hours.

According to market sources, the United States has deployed B-1 bombers to strike targets of Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps. This deployment signifies a significant escalation and expansion of US military operations. Amid the US military's continued reinforcement of its presence in the region, Trump is still considering resuming large-scale combat operations against Iran. Trump previously stated that anytime the Islamic Republic of Iran fires at ships in the Strait of Hormuz, whether via missiles, rockets, drones, or any other equipment or weapons, the US will bomb and destroy a bridge or power plant, including facilities located near or inside Tehran.

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