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分析师:所谓“底部已现”更多是叙事陷阱,应关注过程而非点位

2026-07-02 11:31

Odaily Planet Daily News CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost stated that the current community is constantly seeing the view that "the bottom is in," but many people overlook the true meaning of "bottom." From a technical perspective, the bottom usually refers to the lowest point that appears during a trend reversal, that is, the deepest lower shadow position of a K-line (even on extremely short timeframes) in extreme cases.

However, the problem is that most investors can hardly ever buy precisely at that instantaneous lowest point. Therefore, blindly chasing "buying the dip" or trying to predict the bottom is not practically meaningful. Instead of fixating on the absolute low price, one should focus on the "process management" of trading and investment—that is, how to gradually establish and adjust risk exposure. Position allocation itself is a process that requires continuous optimization, just as forming a bottom also takes time to confirm. Darkfost reminds market participants to avoid over-reliance on narratives like "the bottom is in" and to pay more attention to methodology and execution processes to enhance overall risk management capabilities.