预测市场定价显示美联储2027年前降息的预期已显著降温

Odaily Odaily News: According to pricing in the Kalshi prediction market, the market currently sees only about a 50% probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates before 2027, a significant decline from the 80-90% probability seen earlier this year. As the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meets, the market is essentially pricing in a "higher for longer" interest rate environment, indicating a lack of confidence in near-term monetary policy easing.