2026 FIFA World Cup Countdown: 45 Days Left, France Overtakes Spain as Favorite on Polymarket

Odaily Seer Channel monitoring shows that in the Polymarket "2026 FIFA World Cup Winner" prediction event, France has overtaken Spain as the top favorite, currently leading with a 17% probability, followed by Spain at 15%. England stands at 11%, while Argentina and Brazil are tied at 9% each. To date, the total trading volume for this prediction event has exceeded $770 million.

The contract rules for this event stipulate that the outcome is based on the national team that ultimately wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If, according to FIFA rules, a team has no possibility of winning the World Cup (for example, being eliminated in the knockout stages), it will be immediately settled as "No." The primary settlement source is official FIFA information, but consensus from other reliable reports may also be referenced.

Odaily Seer Channel continues to monitor the prediction market, identifying changes before they are priced in.