因结算规则模糊，Polymarket上“DeepSeek V4在4月24日发布”陷入争议裁决

Odaily Seer Prophet Channel monitoring shows that today DeepSeek officially announced the release of a preview version of DeepSeek-V4. However, on Polymarket, the specific release time of DeepSeek V4 has become embroiled in three rounds of UMA dispute resolution.

The reason lies in the settlement rules for this event, which state that only versions representing the evolution of the core DeepSeek V series, and "explicitly positioned as the successor to DeepSeek-V3," are eligible. Other models, such as derivative models (e.g., "V4-Lite," "V4-Mini"), task-specific models, R-series reasoning models, and experimental or preview versions (e.g., "V4-Exp," "V4-Preview"), are not eligible if they are not positioned as new V-series flagship models.

Therefore, some opponents argue that what DeepSeek officially released today is the V4-Preview version, not the official V4, and that "DeepSeek V4 released on April 24" should not be settled as Yes, but rather as NO.

Odaily Seer Prophet Channel continues to follow the prediction market, seeing changes before pricing.