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Polymarket launches "Will SpaceX acquire Cursor"

2026-04-23 11:42

Odaily Seer Prophet Channel monitoring shows that Polymarket has launched a new market on "Will SpaceX acquire Cursor," with the current probability of "Yes" standing at 74%.

The event contract rules state that if, before 11:59 PM EST on December 31, 2026, it is officially announced that Cursor will be acquired by or merged with SpaceX, the market will resolve to "Yes"; otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Any merger or acquisition involving Cursor (or its parent company, if applicable) and SpaceX (or its parent company, Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) qualifies, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually closes, as long as an announcement is made by Cursor or SpaceX within the market's timeframe, the result is "Yes." Announcements of partial sales may also qualify, provided the acquiring company obtains a controlling stake in another company. "Controlling stake" refers to a change in ownership sufficient to control a company's strategic decisions (typically meaning over 50% equity, or equivalent control through voting rights and governance). Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling stake are not eligible. The primary sources for resolving this market will be official information from Cursor and SpaceX; however, a consensus of credible reports may also be used.

Odaily Seer Prophet Channel continuously monitors prediction markets, seeing changes before they are priced in.