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Crude Oil Pulls Back, Polymarket's "Crude Oil Reaching $100 by End of March" Probability Drops 11% Intraday

2026-03-16 16:35

Odaily Seer 先知频道 monitoring shows that in the Polymarket prediction event "Will the crude oil price reach $100 before the end of March 2026?", the YES probability has fallen back to 78%, a 24-hour drop of 11%. The 24-hour trading volume for this event is approximately $800,000.

International crude oil prices retreated tonight, with WTI crude oil falling below $94 per barrel, an intraday decline of 5.40%. The previously aggressive bullish narrative in the prediction market has shown signs of loosening.

Odaily Seer 先知频道 continues to monitor prediction markets, seeing changes before they are priced in.