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Federal Reserve's probability of maintaining interest rates unchanged in July is 77%

2026-07-05 23:01

Odaily Planet Daily News Data shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates unchanged in July is 77%, while the probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point rate hike is 23%. The probability of the Fed maintaining rates unchanged by September is 41.9%, with a 47.6% chance of a cumulative 25-basis-point hike and a 10.5% chance of a cumulative 50-basis-point hike.