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SBF's venture capital ability is being re-evaluated: If he hadn't gone to prison, his investment returns could have reached hundreds of billions of dollars

2026-05-05 11:30

According to a report by Forbes, SBF's early investment portfolio is being reassessed by the market. Some believe that if he had not been imprisoned following the FTX collapse, his venture capital布局 could have theoretically generated wealth increments of up to approximately $100 billion.

Before the FTX crash, SBF had established an investment landscape covering several star companies, including Anthropic, SpaceX, Robinhood, and the AI programming tool Cursor, which is considered highly forward-looking.

Industry insiders point out that he had already bet on key tracks before the AI wave erupted, including:

Cursor recently reached a cooperation with SpaceX, with a valuation potentially reaching $60 billion

Anthropic's valuation is close to $90 billion

Scale Venture Partners partner Rory O’Driscoll stated that SBF had already invested in several core AI companies before ChatGPT, "demonstrating a rare investment sensitivity."

However, this "investment genius narrative" was ultimately completely altered by the FTX collapse. SBF is currently serving a 25-year sentence for embezzling over $8 billion in customer funds.

At his peak, his personal wealth reached approximately $24 billion, earning him a spot on the Forbes 400 list. Today, his venture capital ability is intertwined with his history of financial crime, making it one of the most controversial cases in crypto history.