2026 FIFA World Cup Countdown 45 Days: Polymarket Sees France's Winning Probability Overtake Spain
Odaily Seer Prophecy Channel monitoring shows that in Polymarket's "2026 FIFA World Cup Winner" prediction event, France's winning probability has overtaken Spain, currently ranking first at 17%. Spain's winning probability is 15%, ranking second, while England is at 11%, with Argentina and Brazil both tied at 9%. To date, the total trading volume for this prediction event has exceeded $770 million.
The contract rules for this event stipulate that it will settle based on the national team that ultimately wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If, according to FIFA rules, a team can no longer win the World Cup (for example, being eliminated in the knockout stage), it will be settled immediately as "No." The primary settlement basis is official FIFA information, but consensus from other reliable reports will also be considered.
Odaily Seer Prophecy Channel continues to focus on the prediction market, observing changes before the pricing is set.
