Risk Warning: Beware of illegal fundraising in the name of 'virtual currency' and 'blockchain'. — Five departments including the Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission
Information
Discover
Search
Login
简中
繁中
English
日本語
한국어
ภาษาไทย
Tiếng Việt
BTC
ETH
HTX
SOL
BNB
View Market
SignalPlus Volatility Column (20240516): Macroeconomics is positive, BTC returns to 66,000
SignalPlus
特邀专栏作者
2024-05-16 11:30
This article is about 668 words, reading the full article takes about 1 minutes
Yesterday (15MAY24), important economic data was released. After three consecutive inflation data exceeded expectations in the past few days, the US CPI index was roughly in line with expectations. In terms of digital currency, boosted by the weakening US economic data, the price of BTC rose all the way to break through the 66,000 mark, attracting a carnival in the community.

Yesterday (15 May 24), important economic data was released. In the past few days, three consecutive inflation data exceeded expectations, while the US CPI index was roughly in line with expectations; retail data was unexpectedly flat, continuing the recent weakness in consumer data. Although the current inflation level and momentum are still far higher than the Fed's target, these two data have eased market concerns about the re-acceleration of prices to a certain extent, restored market confidence in the Fed's September rate cut, and US Treasury yields fell in the short term. The three major US stock indexes also closed up about 1%, setting a record high.

Source: SignalPlus, Economic Calendar

Source: Investing

In terms of digital currencies, boosted by the weakening of US economic data, the price of BTC has been rising all the way to break through the 66,000 mark, attracting the community's carnival. The recent inflow of BTC Spot ETF is also relatively healthy. Although IBIT no longer has growth, the total inflow per day yesterday reached 303 $m, mainly contributed by FBTC and BITB. On the other hand, from the comparison chart below, we can see that ETH's performance in this round of market is relatively poor. In the past 24 hours, it has only gained half of BTC's increase and returned to the vicinity of 3,000 US dollars.

Source: TradingView

Source: Farside Investors

In terms of options, the implied volatility levels of BTC and ETH also showed very different changes. The main change of BTC is reflected in the upward movement of the medium- and long-term IV. The block trades in the past day are also mainly distributed in the medium- and long-term. The largest one is the Long Straddle of 277.5 BTC per leg, which is bullish on the volatility at the end of June, and the diagonal spread of selling May and buying June Call. The front-end IV of ETH fell sharply, attracting a group of Buy 17 MAY vs Sell 24 MAY transactions with a volume of up to 19,450 ETH per leg on the block. At the same time, there are also many call options positions on the option chain at the end of May. Although ETH has performed relatively poorly recently, there are still traders who are paying for its next upside space.

Source: Deribit (as of 16 MAY 16: 00 UTC+ 8)

Source: SignalPlus

Data Source: Deribit, overall distribution of ETH transactions

Data Source: Deribit, overall distribution of BTC transactions

Source: Deribit Block Trade

Source: Deribit Block Trade

You can search for SignalPlus in the Plugin Store of ChatGPT 4.0 to get real-time encryption information. If you want to receive our updates immediately, please follow our Twitter account @SignalPlus_Web3, or join our WeChat group (add assistant WeChat: SignalPlus 123), Telegram group and Discord community to communicate and interact with more friends. SignalPlus Official Website: https://www.signalplus.com

BTC
ETH
finance
policy
currency
options
Welcome to Join Odaily Official Community
AI Summary
Back to Top
Yesterday (15MAY24), important economic data was released. After three consecutive inflation data exceeded expectations in the past few days, the US CPI index was roughly in line with expectations. In terms of digital currency, boosted by the weakening US economic data, the price of BTC rose all the way to break through the 66,000 mark, attracting a carnival in the community.
Download Odaily App
Let Some People Understand Web3.0 First
IOS
Android