Odaily News Polymarket data shows that the probability of former Federal Reserve Board member Kevin Warsh being appointed by Trump as US Treasury Secretary has risen to 46%, ranking first; the probability of Scott Bessent being appointed has dropped to 27%, and the probability of Howard Lutnick being appointed has dropped to 9%. The total amount of bets on this event exceeds $2 million. According to previous news, people familiar with the matter revealed that the Trump team supports former Federal Reserve Board member Kevin Warsh as US Treasury Secretary, and discussions are still ongoing.