Odaily News According to data from the Polymarket website, the probability of the event "The US government will shut down again before February 14th" has plummeted to 3%, with trading volume exceeding $9.89 million.
Previous news indicated that the probability of the event "The US government will shut down again before February 14th" on Polymarket had once risen to 97%.
1. Polymarket Official Posts Image Then Quickly Deletes It, POLY Token Rumored to Be Tied to Platform Fees;
2. Grayscale Applies to Convert AAVE Trust into an ETF;
3. Jupiter Initiates New Proposal to Reduce Future Token Net Emissions to Zero;
4. Dutch House of Representatives Passes 36% Capital Gains Tax Bill, Scheduled for Implementation in 2028 Tax Year;
5. SpaceX Plans to Adopt Dual-Class Share Structure in IPO to Strengthen Musk's Control;
6. US Crypto Bill Faces Obstruction from Wall Street Bank Group Over Stablecoin Revenue, The Digital Chamber Proposes Compromise to Facilitate Mutual Concessions;
7. Dubai Financial Services Authority Releases Q&A Document on Crypto Token Regulatory Framework, Clarifying Conditions for Use by Regulated Entities;
8. Grayscale: Privacy Tokens Like ZEC Can Coexist with Compliance and Privacy, Actively Pushing for ZEC Trust Conversion to ETF;
9. Crypto Data Infrastructure Project BihuoPro Secures $5 Million Strategic Investment from Gemhead Capital;
10. X Product Lead: Plans Further Crackdown on Spam and Will Conduct Detection, Advises Temporarily Halting Bot Integration;
11. Coinbase Bitcoin Premium Index Remains in Negative Territory for 30 Consecutive Days, Setting Year-to-Date Record for Longest "Negative Streak";
12. BTC Treasury Company Hyperscale Data Plans to Issue Preferred Shares to Raise $35.4 Million;
13. a16z Advisor: Only 1.3% of Political Contracts in Prediction Markets Have Liquidity, Suggests Introducing AI Agents to Provide Liquidity;
14. Hacker Exploits OCA Deflation Logic to Attack USDC-OCA Pool, Profiting Approximately $340,000.
According to data from SoSoValue, Ethereum spot ETFs recorded total net inflows of $10.2647 million yesterday (U.S. Eastern Time, February 13).
The Ethereum spot ETF with the highest single-day net inflow yesterday was the Grayscale Ethereum Mini Trust ETF (ETH), with a single-day net inflow of $14.5088 million. Its historical total net inflow has now reached $1.709 billion.
This was followed by the VanEck ETF (ETHV), with a single-day net inflow of $2.9954 million. Its historical total net inflow has reached $175 million.
The Ethereum spot ETF with the highest single-day net outflow yesterday was the BlackRock ETF (ETHA), with a single-day net outflow of $9.2802 million. Its historical total net inflow currently stands at $11.977 billion.
As of the time of writing, the total net asset value of Ethereum spot ETFs is $11.719 billion. The ETF net asset ratio (the proportion of ETF market value to Ethereum's total market cap) has reached 4.75%, and the historical cumulative net inflow has reached $11.648 billion.
According to SoSoValue data, Bitcoin spot ETFs recorded a total net inflow of $15.2029 million yesterday (February 13, US Eastern Time).
The Bitcoin spot ETF with the highest single-day net inflow yesterday was the Fidelity ETF FBTC, with a net inflow of $11.9851 million. FBTC's cumulative historical net inflow has now reached $10.982 billion.
This was followed by the Grayscale Bitcoin Mini Trust ETF BTC, with a single-day net inflow of $6.9947 million. BTC's cumulative historical net inflow has now reached $2.050 billion.
The Bitcoin spot ETF with the highest single-day net outflow yesterday was the BlackRock ETF IBIT, with a net outflow of $9.3619 million. IBIT's cumulative historical net inflow currently stands at $61.606 billion.
As of the time of writing, the total net asset value of Bitcoin spot ETFs is $87.038 billion. The ETF net asset ratio (market cap as a percentage of Bitcoin's total market cap) has reached 6.33%, with a cumulative historical net inflow of $54.329 billion.
Odaily News According to BlockSec Phalcon monitoring, the USDC-OCA pool on the BSC chain was attacked, resulting in the extraction of approximately $422,000 worth of USDC. The attacker exploited the sellOCA() deflation logic of OCA, simultaneously removing an equivalent amount of OCA from the liquidity pool during the transaction to artificially inflate the price. The attack was carried out through three transactions, with the first one executing the attack and the latter two used to pay bribes. The attacker paid a total of about 112 BNB to 48club-puissant-builder, with a final profit of approximately $340,000. Another related transaction within the same block failed, suspected to have been front-run by this attacker.
Odaily News According to Lookonchain monitoring, a newly created wallet deposited 2 million USDC into Hyperliquid 11 hours ago to go long on NVDA stock with 2x leverage. The address currently holds 21,687 xyz：NVDA, valued at $3.97 million.
Odaily News According to on-chain data tracking, between November 23, 2025, and February 14, 2026, two whale addresses continuously withdrew AI identity verification Humanity Protocol tokens (H) from centralized exchanges to on-chain addresses. The funds primarily originated from exchanges such as Bybit, Gate, and KuCoin, and were transferred to on-chain addresses for concentrated holdings, demonstrating characteristics of sustained accumulation and centralized holding.
Address 0x9184…6F42 cumulatively withdrew 23,149,471 H tokens, nearly its entire current holding;
Address 0xbaab…7ab2 cumulatively withdrew 51,253,804 H tokens, also constituting the vast majority of its holdings.
Odaily News Kunal Doshi, a researcher at Blockworks, posted on X stating that the newly launched 5-minute BTC market on Polymarket has generated $25.2 million in trading volume within 40 hours of its launch. The average trading volume per window is approximately $52,000, reaching 10% to 20% of the trading volume of the 15-minute market.
Data shows that 7.1% of unique addresses simultaneously purchased both Yes and No within a single window, with only 4.2% of addresses performing this operation in over 50 windows. Although the number of such addresses is small, their trading volume accounts for 7.5% of the total, and the number of trades accounts for 23.4% of the total. Among these, 92.6% of the orders were buy orders, and 72.3% were filled via limit orders. These addresses achieved profits in 80% of the windows, with a median execution price of $0.9823 for Yes plus No. Currently, the market exhibits early arbitrage behavior. If structured liquidity is introduced, the trading volume of the 5-minute market is expected to surpass that of the 15-minute market.
Odaily News Stanford Business School professor and a16z & Meta advisor Andy Hall posted on platform X, stating that his team has established a new dataset focusing on political prediction markets, liquidity, and settlement rules. The research found that the vast majority of political contracts in prediction markets lack activity, with only 1.3% of contracts having sufficient liquidity. Kalshi and Polymarket rarely list identical contracts with the same rules, leading to further fragmentation of liquidity.
Andy Hall proposed four improvement suggestions: First, list contracts on core issues, collaborating with independent institutions to define markets of social concern; Second, pay fees to market makers to inject initial liquidity into political markets; Third, introduce AI agents to trade in areas where humans do not participate, generating price references needed by society; Fourth, establish unified definitions and settlement rules across platforms. Andy Hall believes these measures will attract traders hedging political risks, making prediction markets the truth machine society needs.
Odaily News: New York Stock Exchange-listed Bitcoin treasury company Hyperscale Data announced the initiation of an ATM equity offering plan. It aims to raise $35.4 million by issuing Series D cumulative redeemable perpetual preferred shares. The net proceeds will be used to increase Bitcoin holdings, purchase precious metals including gold, silver, and/or copper, as well as for working capital and general corporate purposes, including repaying, refinancing, redeeming, or repurchasing future debt or equity. (PRNewswire)
Odaily News According to Coinglass data, the Coinbase Bitcoin Premium Index has remained negative for 30 consecutive days, setting the longest streak of consecutive negative readings so far in 2026, currently reported at -0.0566%.
The Coinbase Bitcoin Premium Index measures the difference between the Bitcoin price on Coinbase (a major U.S. trading platform) and the global average market price. This index is an important indicator for observing capital flows in the U.S. market, institutional investment sentiment, and changes in market mood.
A positive premium indicates that the Coinbase price is higher than the global average, typically suggesting: strong buying pressure in the U.S. market, active entry of institutional or compliant capital, ample USD liquidity, and optimistic investment sentiment. A negative premium indicates that the Coinbase price is lower than the global average, usually reflecting: significant selling pressure in the U.S. market, declining investor risk appetite, rising market risk aversion, or capital outflows.
Odaily News According to Onchain Lens monitoring, the samurai.eth address has sold 601 PAXG in exchange for 3 million USDT and 2.28 ETH ($4,680). Over the past three weeks, this address has sold a total of 2,503 PAXG, valued at approximately $12.89 million, with an average selling price of $5,150.
Odaily News According to monitoring by @ai_9684xtpa, an address starting with 0x806 chased the rally and opened a position of 2,188.12 ETH ($4.497 million) 10 hours ago during an ETH rebound, with an entry price of $2,055.36. Over the past six months, this address has conducted 8 swing trades, accumulating a loss of $1.261 million, with a win rate of only 12.5%. However, the address successfully executed two trades between April and August last year: buying at $1,548.24 and selling at $2,371.98, and buying at $2,406.75 and selling at $4,300.36, resulting in a profit of $6.399 million.
Odaily News On-chain detective ZachXBT posted regarding the user @sexinfochina, stating, "This user intentionally concealed the fact that they are a cybercriminal operating the Chinese dark web market 'FreeCity.' They publicly promote certain illegal services on Telegram and have knowingly conducted 5 money laundering transactions for North Korean hackers. Two years ago, this user asked me to investigate the reason for a CEX account freeze, and the on-chain trace led to a North Korean hacker theft case worth over 100 million."
Furthermore, ZachXBT responded, "Although most users of this dark web platform are Chinese, many illegal transactions occur elsewhere, such as Southeast Asia."
Odaily News According to reports, due to the inability of the U.S. Democratic and Republican parties to reach a consensus on relevant reform plans, on the 12th local time, with just one day remaining before the funding for the U.S. Department of Homeland Security expires, a Senate vote failed to advance the funding bill for the department. Given that both the Senate and the House of Representatives are set to begin a 10-day recess starting the 14th, media widely believe this makes a "shutdown" of the Department of Homeland Security almost inevitable. It is reported that the U.S. Department of Homeland Security may enter a shutdown starting at 00:00 local time on the 14th, which corresponds to 13:00 Beijing time on the 14th. (Jin10)
Odaily News X Product Lead and Solana Advisor Nikita Bier announced via a post that X will introduce more detection mechanisms targeting automated behavior and spam, and will continue to strengthen related measures going forward. If the system detects that an account's interactions are not performed manually, that account and its associated accounts may be suspended. Even actions solely for technical testing or experimentation could trigger restrictions. The goal of the X platform is to support legitimate proxy and automated use cases in the long term, but the related capabilities still require time to be perfected. During this period, it is recommended that developers temporarily halt the integration of bot programs. If business needs absolutely require it, priority should be given to using the official API interface.
